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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Arsenal
T S T T U
3–0
Full-time
West Ham
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Premier League · 28/30 matches
Win Ø 42%
54%
30%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
71%
60%
Both score Ø 67%
71%
63%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
21 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 0
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 6. · West Ham 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 29 22 3 4 +37 69
2 Tottenham 29 18 8 3 +36 62
3 Liverpool 30 17 8 5 +27 59
4 Man City 29 17 7 5 +24 58
5 Man United 29 14 12 3 +19 54
6 Arsenal 28 15 6 7 +22 51
7 Everton 31 14 9 8 +19 51
8 West Brom 31 12 8 11 -1 44
9 Watford 30 10 7 13 -12 37
10 Leicester 30 10 6 14 -10 36
11 Stoke 31 9 9 13 -12 36
12 Burnley 31 10 5 16 -12 35
13 Southampton 28 9 7 12 -3 34
14 Bournemouth 30 9 7 14 -12 34
15 West Ham 30 9 6 15 -13 33
16 Crystal Palace 29 9 4 16 -9 31
17 Swansea 30 8 4 18 -27 28
18 Hull 30 7 6 17 -31 27
19 Middlesbrough 29 4 11 14 -13 23
20 Sunderland 30 5 5 20 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arsenal West Ham
Héctor Bellerín 🟨
18′
39′
🟨 Manuel Lanzini
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Snodgrass
↦ M. Antonio
1–0 M. Özil
58′
Shkodran Mustafi 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 D. Sakho
↦ A. Carroll
2–0 T. Walcott
M. Özil
68′
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ D. Welbeck
74′
77′
🟨 Sam Byram
80′
🔁 E. Fernandes
↦ M. Noble
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain 🔁
↦ T. Walcott
81′
A. Ramsey 🔁
↦ Mohamed Elneny
81′
3–0 O. Giroud
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
83′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
26 E. Martínez G
18 Nacho Monreal D
20 S. Mustafi D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
24 Bellerín D
11 M. Özil M
29 G. Xhaka M
35 Mohamed Elneny M
14 T. Walcott M
7 A. Sánchez M
23 D. Welbeck F
Bench (7)
12 O. Giroud
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
8 A. Ramsey
3 K. Gibbs
54 M. Macey
17 A. Iwobi
4 P. Mertesacker

Coach: A. Wenger

West Ham

4-1-4-1
1 D. Randolph G
19 J. Collins D
23 José Fonte D
26 A. Masuaku D
22 S. Byram D
16 M. Noble M
8 C. Kouyaté M
30 M. Antonio M
10 M. Lanzini M
9 A. Carroll F
20 A. Ayew M
Bench (7)
11 R. Snodgrass
15 D. Sakho
31 E. Fernandes
13 Adrián
28 J. Calleri
4 H. Nordtveit
7 S. Feghouli

Coach: S. Bilić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.