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Premier League

Referee: Roger East

Southampton

T S S T U

3–1

Full-time

Crystal Palace

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Crystal Palace

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 28/29 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

31%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

54%

52%

Both score Ø 49%

46%

52%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

25 Shots 17

9 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 11

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Southampton 13. · Crystal Palace 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	29	22	3	4	+37	69
2	Tottenham	29	18	8	3	+36	62
3	Liverpool	30	17	8	5	+27	59
4	Man City	29	17	7	5	+24	58
5	Man United	29	14	12	3	+19	54
6	Arsenal	28	15	6	7	+22	51
7	Everton	31	14	9	8	+19	51
8	West Brom	31	12	8	11	-1	44
9	Watford	30	10	7	13	-12	37
10	Leicester	30	10	6	14	-10	36
11	Stoke	31	9	9	13	-12	36
12	Burnley	31	10	5	16	-12	35
13	Southampton	28	9	7	12	-3	34
14	Bournemouth	30	9	7	14	-12	34
15	West Ham	30	9	6	15	-13	33
16	Crystal Palace	29	9	4	16	-9	31
17	Swansea	30	8	4	18	-27	28
18	Hull	30	7	6	17	-31	27
19	Middlesbrough	29	4	11	14	-13	23
20	Sunderland	30	5	5	20	-29	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	15	13	2	0	+27	41
2	Chelsea	14	12	0	2	+27	36
3	Liverpool	15	11	3	1	+25	36
4	Everton	15	10	4	1	+24	34
5	Burnley	16	10	2	4	+9	32
6	Arsenal	14	9	3	2	+13	30
7	Leicester	16	9	3	4	+8	30
8	West Brom	15	9	2	4	+9	29
9	Man City	14	7	6	1	+10	27
10	Man United	16	6	9	1	+10	27
11	Watford	16	7	4	5	+1	25
12	Bournemouth	15	7	3	5	+3	24
13	Stoke	15	6	5	4	+2	23
14	Hull	15	6	4	5	-3	22
15	Southampton	13	5	4	4	+0	19
16	Swansea	15	5	3	7	-9	18
17	West Ham	15	5	3	7	-10	18
18	Crystal Palace	14	4	1	9	-5	13
19	Middlesbrough	14	3	4	7	-5	13
20	Sunderland	15	3	4	8	-12	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	15	10	3	2	+10	33
2	Man City	15	10	1	4	+14	31
3	Man United	13	8	3	2	+9	27
4	Liverpool	15	6	5	4	+2	23
5	Arsenal	14	6	3	5	+9	21
6	Tottenham	14	5	6	3	+9	21
7	Crystal Palace	15	5	3	7	-4	18
8	Everton	16	4	5	7	-5	17
9	West Ham	15	4	3	8	-3	15
10	Southampton	15	4	3	8	-3	15
11	West Brom	16	3	6	7	-10	15
12	Stoke	16	3	4	9	-14	13
13	Watford	14	3	3	8	-13	12
14	Middlesbrough	15	1	7	7	-8	10
15	Bournemouth	15	2	4	9	-15	10
16	Swansea	15	3	1	11	-18	10
17	Sunderland	15	2	1	12	-17	7
18	Leicester	14	1	3	10	-18	6
19	Hull	15	1	2	12	-28	5
20	Burnley	15	0	3	12	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.