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Champions League
Referee: S Sozza
Benfica
U S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,8
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
0,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/3 matches
Win Ø 22%
43%
0%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
29%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
14%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
3,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,62 xG 0,74
53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Benfica Leverkusen
41′
🟨 Ibrahim Maza
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Edmond Tapsoba
57′
🔁 M. Tillman
↦ C. Echeverri
57′
🔁 P. Schick
↦ C. Kofane
Dodi Lukebakio 🟨
62′
65′
⚽ P. Schick 0–1
A. Dedic 🔁
↦ L. Barreiro
69′
A. Schjelderup 🔁
↦ S. Dahl
69′
G. Prestianni 🔁
↦ G. Sudakov
69′
Nicolás Otamendi 🟨
78′
79′
🟨 Malik Tillman
88′
🔁 E. Ben Seghir
↦ E. Poku
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
8 F. Aursnes D
44 T. Araujo D
30 N. Otamendi D
26 S. Dahl D
5 E. Barrenechea M
20 R. Rios M
11 D. Lukebakio M
18 L. Barreiro M
10 G. Sudakov M
14 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (12)
24 S. Soares
3 R. Obrador
4 A. Silva
9 F. Ivanovic
17 A. Dedic
21 A. Schjelderup
25 G. Prestianni
39 H. Araujo
66 J. Wynder
68 J. Veloso
84 J. Rego
86 D. Prioste

Coach: Jose Mourinho

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 M. Flekken G
4 J. Quansah D
5 L. Bade D
12 E. Tapsoba D
13 Arthur M
30 I. Maza M
24 A. Garcia M
20 A. Grimaldo M
9 C. Echeverri F
19 E. Poku F
35 C. Kofane F
Bench (9)
28 J. Blaswich
36 N. Lomb
10 M. Tillman
14 P. Schick
17 E. Ben Seghir
27 J. Mensah
42 M. Culbreath
44 J. Belocian
46 F. Pohl

Coach: Kasper Hjulmand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.