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Champions League
Referee: S Gishamer
Qarabag
S T S S T
2–2
Full-time
Chelsea
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,8
Scored
2,7
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 73%
78%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
3,4
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,63 xG 1,26
39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Qarabag Chelsea
8′
🔁 M. Caicedo
↦ R. Lavia
16′
⚽ Estevao 0–1
Andrey Santos
1–1 Leandro Andrade ⚽
C. Duran
29′
E. Addai 🔁
↦ Kady Borges
31′
2–1 M. Jankovic ⚽
39′
44′
🟨 Andrey Santos
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 E. Fernandez
↦ Andrey Santos
46′
🔁 L. Delap
↦ T. George
46′
🔁 A. Garnacho
↦ J. Gittens
Matheus Silva 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Reece James
53′
⚽ A. Garnacho 2–2
N. Akhundzade 🔁
↦ C. Duran
61′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
61′
71′
🔁 F. Buonanotte
↦ Joao Pedro
Dani Bolt 🔁
↦ E. Cafarquliyev
75′
O. Kashchuk 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
75′
Kevin Medina 🟨
87′
91′
🟨 Moisés Caicedo
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazada D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cafarquliyev D
35 Pedro Bicalho M
8 M. Jankovic M
20 Kady Borges M
15 Leandro Andrade M
10 A. Zoubir
17 C. Duran F
Bench (12)
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
97 F. Buntic
3 S. Mmaee
6 Chriso
7 N. Akhundzade
11 E. Addai
18 Dani Bolt
21 O. Kashchuk
27 T. Bayramov
30 A. Huseynov
32 H. Cabrayilzada
55 B. Huseynov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
1 R. Sanchez G
24 R. James D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
21 J. Hato D
3 M. Cucurella D
17 Andrey Santos M
45 R. Lavia M
41 Estêvão M
20 Joao Pedro M
11 J. Gittens M
32 T. George F
Bench (12)
12 F. Jorgensen
50 M. Merrick
8 E. Fernandez
9 L. Delap
23 T. Chalobah
25 M. Caicedo
27 M. Gusto
29 W. Fofana
34 J. Acheampong
38 M. Guiu
40 F. Buonanotte
49 A. Garnacho

Coach: Liam Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.