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Champions League
Referee: S Jablonski
Pafos
S U U T U
1–0
Full-time
Villarreal
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 22%
44%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
22%
33%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,75 xG 1,77
41% Possession 59%
5 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Pafos Villarreal
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Luckassen ⚽
K. Sema
46′
56′
🔁 M. Solomon
↦ A. Moleiro
56′
🔁 T. Oluwaseyi
↦ G. Mikautadze
63′
🔁 G. Moreno
↦ A. Perez
63′
🔁 S. Comesana
↦ D. Parejo
63′
🔁 A. Pedraza
↦ S. Cardona
Derrick Luckassen 🟨
70′
K. Pileas 🔁
↦ K. Sema
72′
76′
🟨 Renato Veiga
Jaja 🔁
↦ M. Orsic
78′
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ Pepe
78′
B. Langa 🔁
↦ D. Quina
87′
90′
🟨 Pape Gueye
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Pafos

5-4-1
93 N. Michail G
7 Bruno D
23 D. Luckassen D
4 David Luiz D
5 D. Goldar D
12 K. Sema D
17 M. Orsic M
26 I. Sunjic M
88 Pepe M
8 D. Quina M
30 V. Dragomir F
Bench (8)
1 J. Gorter
82 P. Petrou
2 K. Pileas
9 M. Bassouamina
10 L. Dimata
11 Jaja
25 B. Langa
33 Anderson Silva

Coach: Albert Celades

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Luiz Junior G
15 S. Mourino D
8 J. Foyth D
12 R. Veiga D
23 S. Cardona D
19 N. Pepe M
18 P. Gueye M
10 D. Parejo M
20 A. Moleiro M
22 A. Perez F
9 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (12)
25 A. Tenas
3 A. Altimira
4 R. Marin
6 M. Solomon
7 G. Moreno
11 I. Akhomach
14 S. Comesana
16 T. Partey
17 T. Buchanan
21 T. Oluwaseyi
24 A. Pedraza
26 P. Navarro

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.