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Champions League
Referee: J Manzano
Leverkusen
U S U S S
2–7
Full-time
Paris SG
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

2,50 xG 2,86
29% Possession 71%
6 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 11
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 1

Match report

Leverkusen Paris SG
7′
⚽ W. Pacho 0–1
N. Mendes
24′
🟨 Ilya Zabarnyi
Robert Andrich ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
32′
Robert Andrich 🟥
33′
37′
🟥 Ilya Zabarnyi
1–1 A. Garcia ⚽
38′
41′
⚽ D. Doue 1–2
K. Kvaratskhelia
Claudio Echeverri 🟨
43′
44′
⚽ K. Kvaratskhelia 1–3
45′
⚽ D. Doue 1–4
A. Hakimi
Half-time 1–4
Edmond Tapsoba 🟨
46′
I. Maza 🔁
↦ C. Echeverri
46′
46′
🔁 L. Hernandez
↦ D. Doue
50′
⚽ N. Mendes 1–5
Vitinha
J. Belocian 🔁
↦ C. Kofane
52′
2–5 A. Garcia ⚽
A. Grimaldo
54′
E. Ben Seghir 🔁
↦ E. Poku
63′
63′
🔁 O. Dembele
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
63′
🔁 Lee Kang-In
↦ S. Mayulu
66′
⚽ O. Dembele 2–6
B. Barcola
72′
🔁 I. Mbaye
↦ B. Barcola
76′
🔁 Q. Ndjantou
↦ W. Zaire-Emery
J. Mensah 🔁
↦ E. Fernandez
81′
90′
⚽ Vitinha 2–7
Full-time 2–7

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 M. Flekken G
8 R. Andrich D
5 L. Bade D
12 E. Tapsoba D
13 Arthur M
6 E. Fernandez M
24 A. Garcia M
20 A. Grimaldo M
9 C. Echeverri F
19 E. Poku F
35 C. Kofane F
Bench (8)
28 J. Blaswich
36 N. Lomb
17 E. Ben Seghir
27 J. Mensah
30 I. Maza
38 K. Izekor
42 M. Culbreath
44 J. Belocian

Coach: Kasper Hjulmand

Paris SG

4-3-3
30 L. Chevalier G
2 A. Hakimi D
6 I. Zabarnyi D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
33 W. Zaire-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
24 S. Mayulu M
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
14 D. Doue F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (10)
89 R. Marin
39 M. Safonov
4 L. Beraldo
5 Marquinhos
9 G. Ramos
10 O. Dembele
19 Lee Kang-In
21 L. Hernandez
47 Q. Ndjantou
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Manzano · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.