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Champions League
Referee: I Kovacs
Olympiakos
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Pafos
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,52 xG 0,30
69% Possession 31%
18 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Olympiakos Pafos
15′
🟨 Bruno
Dani García 🟨
20′
25′
🟨 Bruno
25′
🟥 Bruno
33′
🔁 K. Pileas
↦ David Luiz
33′
🔁 M. Orsic
↦ L. Dimata
Lorenzo Pirola 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
C. Mouzakitis 🔁
↦ D. Garcia
46′
M. Taremi 🔁
↦ G. Strefezza
46′
Costinha 🔁
↦ Rodinei
61′
Mehdi Taremi 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
70′
Mehdi Taremi 🟨
72′
G. Biancone 🔁
↦ L. Pirola
75′
S. Pnevmonidis 🔁
↦ S. Hezze
75′
76′
🔁 K. Sema
↦ Jaja
76′
🔁 B. Langa
↦ J. Correia
85′
🔁 Anderson Silva
↦ V. Dragomir
88′
🟨 Bruno Langa
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
14 D. Garcia M
27 G. Strefezza M
22 Chiquinho M
56 D. Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (11)
61 G. Kouraklis
91 A. Exarchos
4 G. Biancone
6 A. Kalogeropoulos
8 D. Nascimento
16 L. Scipioni
20 Costinha
70 B. Onyemaechi
80 S. Pnevmonidis
96 C. Mouzakitis
99 M. Taremi

Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

Pafos

4-1-4-1
93 N. Michail G
7 Bruno D
23 D. Luckassen D
4 David Luiz D
77 J. Correia D
5 D. Goldar M
11 Jaja M
26 I. Sunjic M
88 Pepe M
30 V. Dragomir M
10 L. Dimata F
Bench (8)
1 J. Gorter
82 P. Petrou
2 K. Pileas
8 D. Quina
12 K. Sema
17 M. Orsic
25 B. Langa
33 Anderson Silva

Coach: Albert Celades

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.