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Champions League
Referee: E Eskås
Brest
S S S T S
0–3
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,8
Scored
1,2
4,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
43%
71%
Average goals
2,6
4,1
Scored
1,4
2,4
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,43 xG 2,35
41% Possession 59%
23 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Brest Real Madrid
Mathias Pereira Lage 🟨
10′
27′
⚽ Rodrygo 0–1
L. Modrić
29′
🟨 Aurélien Tchouaméni
35′
🟨 Antonio Rüdiger
Half-time 0–1
Ludovic Ajorque ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
52′
56′
⚽ J. Bellingham 0–2
Lucas Vázquez
P. Lees-Melou 🔁
↦ H. Magnetti
61′
R. Faivre 🔁
↦ K. Doumbia
61′
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ M. Camara
70′
A. Sima 🔁
↦ Mama Baldé
70′
72′
🔁 A. Güler
↦ Brahim Díaz
74′
🟨 Jude Bellingham
78′
⚽ Rodrygo 0–3
I. Salah 🔁
↦ L. Ajorque
79′
82′
🔁 Dani Ceballos
↦ J. Bellingham
82′
🔁 D. Alaba
↦ A. Tchouaméni
83′
🔁 Raúl Asencio
↦ Lucas Vázquez
88′
🔁 Endrick
↦ L. Modrić
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Brest

4-3-1-2
40 M. Bizot G
7 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
44 S. Coulibaly D
26 Mathias Pereira Lage D
45 M. Camara M
6 E. Fernandes M
8 H. Magnetti M
9 K. Doumbia M
19 L. Ajorque F
14 Mama Baldé F
Bench (9)
20 P. Lees-Melou
21 R. Faivre
10 R. Del Castillo
17 A. Sima
34 I. Salah
25 J. Le Cardinal
30 G. Coudert
3 A. Ndiaye
50 N. Jauny

Coach: E. Roy

Real Madrid

4-2-3-1
1 T. Courtois G
17 Lucas Vázquez D
14 A. Tchouaméni D
22 A. Rüdiger D
23 F. Mendy D
10 L. Modrić M
8 F. Valverde M
21 Brahim Díaz M
5 J. Bellingham M
11 Rodrygo M
9 K. Mbappé F
Bench (11)
15 A. Güler
19 Dani Ceballos
4 D. Alaba
35 Raúl Asencio
16 Endrick
30 Gonzalo García
31 Jacobo Ramón
13 A. Lunin
34 Sergio Mestre
20 Fran García
47 Pol Fortuny

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.