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Champions League
Referee: M Mariani
Girona
S S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Arsenal
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
14%
71%
Points per game
0,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 14%
14%
14%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
0,6
2,0
Conceded
1,6
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,77 xG 2,16
39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 13
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.