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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Barcelona
S S U S S
2–2
Full-time
Atalanta
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
5,3
2,8
Scored
3,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 72%
86%
57%
Points per game
2,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
100%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
71%
29%
Average goals
5,3
3,1
Scored
3,7
2,6
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,39 xG 1,22
68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 6
7 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Barcelona Atalanta
38′
ℹ️ Davide Zappacosta
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Lamine Yamal ⚽
Raphinha
47′
51′
🟨 Sead Kolašinac
55′
🔁 G. Scalvini
↦ S. Kolašinac
67′
⚽ Éderson 1–1
D. Zappacosta
Fermín López 🔁
↦ Gavi
69′
Ferran Torres 🔁
↦ R. Lewandowski
69′
Pau Cubarsí 🔁
↦ Eric García
69′
2–1 R. Araujo ⚽
Raphinha
72′
77′
🔁 J. Cuadrado
↦ R. Bellanova
77′
🔁 M. Ruggeri
↦ D. Zappacosta
77′
🔁 N. Zaniolo
↦ M. Retegui
79′
⚽ M. Pašalić 2–2
M. de Roon
Marc Casadó 🔁
↦ Pedri
80′
87′
🔁 M. Brescianini
↦ C. De Ketelaere
93′
🟨 Marten de Roon
Pau Víctor 🔁
↦ Lamine Yamal
96′
97′
🟨 Mario Pašalić
97′
🟨 Éderson
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
25 W. Szczęsny G
23 J. Koundé D
4 R. Araujo D
24 Eric García D
3 Alejandro Balde D
21 F. de Jong M
8 Pedri M
19 Lamine Yamal M
6 Gavi M
11 Raphinha M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (11)
16 Fermín López
7 Ferran Torres
2 Pau Cubarsí
17 Marc Casadó
18 Pau Víctor
14 Pablo Torre
32 Héctor Fort
35 Gerard Martín
31 D. Kochen
10 Ansu Fati
13 Iñaki Peña

Coach: H. Flick

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
29 M. Carnesecchi G
19 B. Djimsiti D
4 I. Hien D
23 S. Kolašinac D
16 R. Bellanova M
15 M. de Roon M
13 Éderson M
77 D. Zappacosta M
8 M. Pašalić F
17 C. De Ketelaere F
32 M. Retegui F
Bench (12)
42 G. Scalvini
7 J. Cuadrado
22 M. Ruggeri
10 N. Zaniolo
44 M. Brescianini
24 L. Samardžić
2 R. Tolói
25 F. Cassa
28 Rui Patrício
27 M. Palestra
31 F. Rossi
48 V. Vlahović

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.