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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Sparta Praha
S S U T T
0–6
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 55%
60%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,22 xG 3,11
40% Possession 60%
4 Shots 24
2 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sparta Praha Ath Madrid
15′
⚽ J. Alvarez 0–1
J. Pešek 🔁
↦ L. Haraslín
27′
43′
⚽ Marcos Llorente 0–2
C. Gallagher
Half-time 0–2
59′
🔁 A. Griezmann
↦ A. Sørloth
59′
⚽ J. Alvarez 0–3
G. Simeone
V. Olatunji 🔁
↦ Albion Rrahmani
60′
I. Tuci 🔁
↦ E. Krasniqi
61′
Jakub Pešek 🟨
65′
67′
🟨 Pablo Barrios
70′
⚽ A. Griezmann 0–4
Marcos Llorente
D. Pavelka 🔁
↦ J. Pešek
79′
M. Solbakken 🔁
↦ Q. Laçi
79′
79′
🔁 Koke
↦ Pablo Barrios
79′
🔁 Rodrigo Riquelme
↦ G. Simeone
79′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ J. Alvarez
79′
🔁 Samuel Lino
↦ R. De Paul
85′
⚽ Á. Correa 0–5
Samuel Lino
89′
⚽ Á. Correa 0–6
Marcos Llorente
Full-time 0–6

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
27 F. Panák D
5 M. Ross D
28 T. Wiesner M
6 K. Kairinen M
20 Q. Laçi M
32 M. Ryneš M
29 E. Krasniqi F
10 Albion Rrahmani F
22 L. Haraslín F
Bench (12)
21 J. Pešek
7 V. Olatunji
11 I. Tuci
8 D. Pavelka
4 M. Solbakken
61 D. Večerka
13 K. Daněk
2 M. Suchomel
24 V. Vorel
18 L. Sadílek
44 J. Surovčík
54 L. Penxa

Coach: L. Friis

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
14 Marcos Llorente D
2 J. Giménez D
15 C. Lenglet D
21 Javi Galán D
22 G. Simeone M
5 R. De Paul M
8 Pablo Barrios M
4 C. Gallagher M
9 A. Sørloth F
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (10)
7 A. Griezmann
6 Koke
17 Rodrigo Riquelme
10 Á. Correa
12 Samuel Lino
20 A. Witsel
23 Reinildo
1 J. Musso
3 César Azpilicueta
31 Antonio Gomis

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.