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Championship
Referee: R Madley
Sunderland
S S U U U
0–0
Full-time
West Brom
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 49%
60%
38%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
40%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
40%
44%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,91 xG 0,46
57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 2
2 Shots on target 0
11 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 4. · West Brom 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sheffield United 16 10 4 2 +14 +7.5 34
2 Burnley 17 9 6 2 +15 +4.7 33
3 Leeds 16 9 5 2 +16 +17.1 32
4 Sunderland 15 9 4 2 +14 +1.6 31
5 Watford 17 9 2 6 +2 -2.4 29
6 Middlesbrough 16 8 3 5 +10 +16.6 27
7 West Brom 16 6 8 2 +7 +5.6 26
8 Millwall 16 6 6 4 +5 +8.5 24
9 Norwich 17 5 7 5 +6 +3.8 22
10 Blackburn 15 6 4 5 +2 -1.0 22
11 Bristol City 16 5 7 4 +0 +0.5 22
12 Sheffield Weds 17 6 4 7 -6 -0.4 22
13 Stoke 17 5 6 6 -1 -7.1 21
14 Derby 16 5 5 6 +0 -3.3 20
15 Swansea 16 5 4 7 +0 -0.3 19
16 Luton 16 5 3 8 -8 +0.2 18
17 Oxford 17 4 5 8 -8 -11.2 17
18 Preston 17 3 8 6 -8 -3.6 17
19 Plymouth 17 4 5 8 -16 -19.3 17
20 Coventry 16 4 4 8 -3 +5.1 16
21 Cardiff 16 4 4 8 -9 -6.8 16
22 Hull 17 3 6 8 -7 -2.3 15
23 Portsmouth 15 2 6 7 -12 -7.9 12
24 QPR 16 1 8 7 -13 -5.6 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland West Brom
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 U. Račić
↦ K. Bartley
46′
🔁 L. Dobbin
↦ M. Johnston
Eliezer Mayenda 🔁
↦ T. Watson
68′
A. Alese 🔁
↦ L. ONien
68′
80′
🔁 J. Swift
↦ J. Maja
90′
🔁 D. Cole
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
1 A. Patterson G
13 L. O'Nien D
26 C. Mepham D
5 D. Ballard D
32 T. Hume D
4 D. Neil M
7 J. Bellingham M
10 P. Roberts M
11 C. Rigg M
40 T. Watson M
18 W. Isidor F
Bench (9)
12 Eliezer Mayenda
42 A. Alese
21 S. Moore
30 M. Aleksić
15 N. Rusyn
41 Z. Johnson
33 L. Hjelde
24 A. Connolly
22 A. Aouchiche

Coach: R. Le Bris

West Brom

3-5-2
1 A. Palmer G
3 M. Holgate D
5 K. Bartley D
14 T. Heggem D
31 T. Fellows M
8 J. Molumby M
27 A. Mowatt M
22 M. Johnston M
4 C. Styles M
18 K. Ahearne-Grant F
9 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
20 U. Račić
19 L. Dobbin
10 J. Swift
44 D. Cole
7 J. Wallace
23 J. Wildsmith
40 D. Nelson
24 G. Frabotta
34 H. Whitwell

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U ✓
3,24
B
3,10
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Madley · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.