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Champions League
Referee: M Lukjančukas
Stuttgart
U S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Sparta Praha
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,8
3,3
Scored
3,2
2,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
0%
86%
Points per game
0,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
100%
43%
Both score Ø 72%
100%
43%
Average goals
4,0
3,1
Scored
1,0
2,4
Conceded
3,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,71 xG 1,00
77% Possession 23%
26 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Stuttgart Sparta Praha
1–0 E. Millot ⚽
M. Mittelstädt
7′
Pascal Stenzel 🟨
12′
32′
⚽ K. Kairinen 1–1
Half-time 1–1
A. Chase 🔁
↦ P. Stenzel
62′
C. Führich 🔁
↦ E. Demirović
62′
70′
🔁 V. Olatunji
↦ A. Rrahmani
70′
🔁 L. Sadílek
↦ Q. Laçi
E. Touré 🔁
↦ A. Karazor
76′
77′
🟨 Kaan Kairinen
82′
🔁 E. Krasniqi
↦ L. Haraslín
F. Rieder 🔁
↦ J. Leweling
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
33 A. Nübel G
15 P. Stenzel D
29 A. Rouault D
24 J. Chabot D
7 M. Mittelstädt D
16 A. Karazor M
6 A. Stiller M
8 E. Millot M
26 D. Undav M
18 J. Leweling M
9 E. Demirović F
Bench (10)
45 A. Chase
27 C. Führich
10 E. Touré
32 F. Rieder
5 Y. Keitel
1 F. Bredlow
13 F. Krätzig
40 L. Raimund
41 D. Seimen
31 C. Olivier

Coach: S. Hoeneß

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
27 F. Panák D
30 J. Zelený D
17 Á. Preciado M
6 K. Kairinen M
20 Q. Laçi M
32 M. Ryneš M
14 V. Birmančević F
10 A. Rrahmani F
22 L. Haraslín F
Bench (12)
7 V. Olatunji
18 L. Sadílek
29 E. Krasniqi
8 D. Pavelka
25 A. Sørensen
11 I. Tuci
4 M. Solbakken
21 J. Pešek
5 M. Ross
13 K. Daněk
28 T. Wiesner
24 V. Vorel

Coach: L. Friis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Lukjančukas · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.