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Champions League
Referee: R Obrenović
Sparta Praha
S U S S S
3–0
Full-time
Salzburg
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,35 xG 0,60
29% Possession 71%
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sparta Praha Salzburg
1–0 K. Kairinen ⚽
2′
2–0 V. Olatunji ⚽
F. Panák
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Diambou
↦ J. Mellberg
57′
🔁 K. Konaté
↦ M. Yeo
57′
🔁 A. Daghim
↦ D. Nene
58′
🟨 Kamil Piątkowski
3–0 Q. Laçi ⚽
V. Olatunji
58′
Albion Rrahmani 🔁
↦ V. Olatunji
64′
66′
🔁 L. Gourna-Douath
↦ B. Clark
M. Ryneš 🔁
↦ T. Wiesner
71′
72′
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
E. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ L. Haraslín
72′
83′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ Stefan Bajčetić
L. Sadílek 🔁
↦ Q. Laçi
84′
Martin Vitík 🟨
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
27 F. Panák D
30 J. Zelený D
17 Á. Preciado M
6 K. Kairinen M
20 Q. Laçi M
28 T. Wiesner M
14 V. Birmančević F
7 V. Olatunji F
22 L. Haraslín F
Bench (12)
10 Albion Rrahmani
32 M. Ryneš
29 E. Krasniqi
18 L. Sadílek
5 M. Ross
24 V. Vorel
8 D. Pavelka
13 K. Daněk
4 M. Solbakken
11 I. Tuci
21 J. Pešek
2 M. Suchomel

Coach: L. Friis

Salzburg

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
70 A. Dedić D
91 K. Piątkowski D
4 H. Blank D
36 J. Mellberg D
7 N. Capaldo M
8 Stefan Bajčetić M
10 B. Clark M
45 D. Nene F
49 M. Yeo F
30 O. Gloukh F
Bench (10)
15 M. Diambou
19 K. Konaté
28 A. Daghim
27 L. Gourna-Douath
21 P. Ratkov
39 L. Morgalla
5 B. Okoh
6 S. Baidoo
24 A. Schlager
92 S. Hamzić

Coach: P. Lijnders

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.