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Champions League
Referee: M Balakin
Leverkusen
S U T U S
5–0
Full-time
Salzburg
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

4,56 xG 0,33
62% Possession 38%
29 Shots 7
13 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen Salzburg
Patrik Schick ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
7′
1–0 F. Wirtz ⚽
8′
2–0 Álex Grimaldo ⚽
11′
16′
🔁 D. Nene
↦ K. Konaté
3–0 F. Wirtz ⚽
Álex Grimaldo
30′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 D. Guindo
↦ A. Terzić
46′
🔁 M. Bidstrup
↦ B. Clark
46′
🔁 Stefan Bajčetić
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
58′
🟨 Moussa Kounfolo Yeo
4–0 P. Schick ⚽
J. Frimpong
61′
Robert Andrich 🟨
65′
Arthur 🔁
↦ P. Hincapié
68′
Aleix García 🔁
↦ E. Palacios
68′
N. Tella 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
68′
5–0 Aleix García ⚽
F. Wirtz
72′
A. Stepanov 🔁
↦ P. Schick
73′
74′
🔁 N. Capaldo
↦ M. Diambou
F. Onyeka 🔁
↦ F. Wirtz
76′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-5-2
17 M. Kovář G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
25 E. Palacios M
8 R. Andrich M
34 G. Xhaka M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
14 P. Schick F
10 F. Wirtz F
Bench (8)
13 Arthur
24 Aleix García
19 N. Tella
29 A. Stepanov
40 F. Onyeka
28 B. Hawighorst
1 L. Hrádecký
36 N. Lomb

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Salzburg

4-3-3
24 A. Schlager G
70 A. Dedić D
91 K. Piątkowski D
6 S. Baidoo D
3 A. Terzić D
10 B. Clark M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
15 M. Diambou M
49 M. Yeo F
19 K. Konaté F
30 O. Gloukh F
Bench (12)
45 D. Nene
29 D. Guindo
18 M. Bidstrup
8 Stefan Bajčetić
7 N. Capaldo
21 P. Ratkov
92 S. Hamzić
4 H. Blank
36 J. Mellberg
5 B. Okoh
28 A. Daghim
16 T. Kawamura

Coach: P. Lijnders

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Balakin · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.