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Champions League
Referee: José Sánchez
Slovan Bratislava
S T T T T
2–3
Full-time
Milan
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slovan Bratislava Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/4 matches
Win Ø 46%
42%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
58%
75%
Both score Ø 67%
58%
75%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,51 xG 1,88
34% Possession 66%
6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Slovan Bratislava Milan
21′
⚽ C. Pulišić 0–1
T. Abraham
1–1 T. Barseghyan ⚽
K. Savvidīs
24′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Rafael Leão
↦ N. Oka
54′
🟨 Samuel Chukwueze
58′
🟨 Davide Calabria
D. Ihnatenko 🔁
↦ I. Metsoko
66′
68′
⚽ Rafael Leão 1–2
Y. Fofana
71′
⚽ T. Abraham 1–3
74′
🔁 Emerson Royal
↦ D. Calabria
74′
🔁 R. Loftus-Cheek
↦ C. Pulišić
M. Tolić 🔁
↦ J. Kucka
76′
N. Marcelli 🔁
↦ S. Voet
76′
76′
🔁 Y. Musah
↦ Y. Fofana
79′
🟨 Fikayo Tomori
84′
🔁 F. Camarda
↦ T. Abraham
2–3 N. Marcelli ⚽
T. Barseghyan
88′
Marko Tolić 🟨
90′
Marko Tolić 🟨
90′
Marko Tolić 🟥
90′
R. Mak 🔁
↦ K. Savvidīs
90′
Kenan Bajrić 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Slovan Bratislava

3-4-3
71 D. Takáč G
12 K. Bajrič D
4 G. Kashia D
2 S. Voet D
28 C. Blackman M
33 J. Kucka M
88 K. Savvidīs M
17 J. Medveděv M
11 T. Barseghyan F
13 D. Strelec F
93 I. Metsoko F
Bench (12)
77 D. Ihnatenko
10 M. Tolić
18 N. Marcelli
21 R. Mak
27 M. Vojtko
26 A. Gajdoš
23 S. Zuberu
37 J. Szöke
31 M. Trnovský
35 A. Hrdina
20 A. Mustafić
25 L. Pauschek

Coach: V. Weiss

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 D. Calabria D
23 F. Tomori D
31 S. Pavlović D
19 T. Hernández D
29 Y. Fofana M
14 T. Reijnders M
21 S. Chukwueze M
11 C. Pulišić M
17 N. Okafor M
90 T. Abraham F
Bench (10)
10 Rafael Leão
22 Emerson Royal
8 R. Loftus-Cheek
80 Y. Musah
73 F. Camarda
46 M. Gabbia
96 L. Torriani
42 F. Terracciano
57 M. Sportiello
28 M. Thiaw

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.