← Match Finder
Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Real Madrid
T S S S T
1–3
Full-time
Milan
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Real Madrid Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,66 xG 2,45
57% Possession 43%
23 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Real Madrid Milan
12′
⚽ M. Thiaw 0–1
C. Pulišić
21′
🟨 Álvaro Morata
1–1 Vinícius Júnior ⚽
23′
39′
⚽ Álvaro Morata 1–2
Half-time 1–2
Brahim Díaz 🔁
↦ A. Tchouaméni
46′
E. Camavinga 🔁
↦ F. Valverde
46′
Eduardo Camavinga 🟨
58′
Dani Ceballos 🔁
↦ L. Modrić
63′
Éder Militão 🟨
68′
Lucas Vázquez 🟨
68′
70′
🔁 T. Abraham
↦ Álvaro Morata
70′
🔁 R. Loftus-Cheek
↦ C. Pulišić
Vinícius Júnior 🟨
71′
73′
⚽ T. Reijnders 1–3
Rafael Leão
Rodrygo 🔁
↦ J. Bellingham
74′
Fran García 🔁
↦ F. Mendy
74′
78′
🔁 N. Okafor
↦ Rafael Leão
Antonio Rüdiger ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
84′
85′
🟨 Youssouf Fofana
93′
🔁 S. Pavlović
↦ Y. Musah
93′
🔁 D. Calabria
↦ Emerson Royal
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-4-2
13 A. Lunin G
17 Lucas Vázquez D
3 Éder Militão D
22 A. Rüdiger D
23 F. Mendy D
8 F. Valverde M
14 A. Tchouaméni M
10 L. Modrić M
5 J. Bellingham M
9 K. Mbappé F
7 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (10)
21 Brahim Díaz
6 E. Camavinga
19 Dani Ceballos
11 Rodrygo
20 Fran García
26 Fran González
16 Endrick
34 Sergio Mestre
18 Jesús Vallejo
15 A. Güler

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
22 Emerson Royal D
28 M. Thiaw D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
29 Y. Fofana M
14 T. Reijnders M
80 Y. Musah M
11 C. Pulišić M
10 Rafael Leão M
7 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (10)
90 T. Abraham
8 R. Loftus-Cheek
17 N. Okafor
31 S. Pavlović
2 D. Calabria
21 S. Chukwueze
42 F. Terracciano
57 M. Sportiello
96 L. Torriani
73 F. Camarda

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.