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Champions League
Referee: I Peljto
Lille
S U S S U
1–1
Full-time
Juventus
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/3 matches
Win Ø 62%
57%
67%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
43%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,77 xG 1,46
34% Possession 66%
6 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lille Juventus
1–0 J. David
E. Zhegrova
27′
Half-time 1–0
N. Mukau 🔁
↦ A. Gomes
55′
60′
D. Vlahović 1–1
62′
🟨 Juan Cabal
68′
🔁 T. Weah
↦ D. Vlahović
68′
🔁 N. Savona
↦ J. Cabal
68′
🔁 W. McKennie
↦ K. Thuram
Benjamin André 🟨
73′
M. Bakker 🔁
↦ G. Gudmundsson
81′
81′
🔁 S. Mbangula
↦ K. Yıldız
M. Fernandez-Pardo 🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
2 A. Mandi D
18 B. Diakité D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
5 G. Gudmundsson D
21 B. André M
32 A. Bouaddi M
23 E. Zhegrova M
8 A. Gomes M
11 O. Sahraoui M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
17 N. Mukau
20 M. Bakker
19 M. Fernandez-Pardo
27 M. Bayo
39 L. Baret
47 Y. Lachaab
37 M. Costarelli
1 V. Mannone
16 M. Caillard

Coach: B. Génésio

Juventus

4-2-3-1
29 M. Di Gregorio G
27 A. Cambiaso D
4 F. Gatti D
15 P. Kalulu D
32 J. Cabal D
5 M. Locatelli M
19 K. Thuram M
7 Francisco Conceição M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
10 K. Yıldız M
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (10)
22 T. Weah
37 N. Savona
16 W. McKennie
51 S. Mbangula
21 N. Fagioli
26 Douglas Luiz
1 M. Perin
17 V. Adžić
40 J. Rouhi
23 C. Pinsoglio

Coach: T. Motta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.