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Champions League
Referee: Ə Ağayev
Bologna
U U T S S
0–1
Full-time
Monaco
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,3
4,3
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,57 xG 0,91
46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bologna Monaco
Łukasz Skorupski ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
21′
Nikola Moro 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–0
T. Pobega 🔁
↦ N. Moro
46′
Giovanni Fabbian 🟨
53′
T. Dallinga 🔁
↦ S. Castro
68′
R. Orsolini 🔁
↦ S. Iling-Junior
68′
71′
🔁 T. Minamino
↦ E. Ben Seghir
75′
🟨 Lamine Camara
77′
🟨 Christian Mawissa
78′
🔁 Caio Henrique
↦ C. Mawissa
78′
🔁 E. Matazo
↦ L. Camara
L. Ferguson 🔁
↦ G. Fabbian
81′
86′
⚽ T. Kehrer 0–1
B. Embolo
Jhon Lucumí 🟨
88′
J. Odgaard 🔁
↦ Juan Miranda
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Skorupski G
3 S. Posch D
31 S. Beukema D
26 J. Lucumí D
33 Juan Miranda D
8 R. Freuler M
6 N. Moro M
14 S. Iling-Junior M
80 G. Fabbian M
11 D. Ndoye M
9 S. Castro F
Bench (12)
18 T. Pobega
24 T. Dallinga
7 R. Orsolini
19 L. Ferguson
21 J. Odgaard
16 T. Corazza
23 N. Bagnolini
2 E. Holm
22 C. Lykogiannis
82 K. Urbański
15 N. Casale
34 F. Ravaglia

Coach: V. Italiano

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 R. Majecki G
2 Vanderson D
17 W. Singo D
5 T. Kehrer D
13 C. Mawissa D
15 L. Camara M
88 S. Magassa M
11 M. Akliouche M
7 E. Ben Seghir M
10 A. Golovin M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (12)
18 T. Minamino
12 Caio Henrique
8 E. Matazo
44 S. Nibombé
27 K. Diatta
16 P. Köhn
4 J. Teze
21 G. Ilenikhena
42 S. Bouabré
20 K. Ouattara
50 Y. Lienard
41 L. Michal

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ə Ağayev · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.