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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S T
4–0
Full-time
Girona
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,04 xG 0,76
62% Possession 38%
25 Shots 7
12 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Girona
1–0 R. Flamingo ⚽
M. Tillman
16′
2–0 M. Tillman ⚽
N. Lang
33′
Luuk de Jong 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Arnau Martínez
Half-time 2–0
48′
🟨 Bryan Gil
55′
🟨 Arnau Martínez
55′
🟥 Arnau Martínez
Rick Karsdorp 🟨
58′
Matteo Dams 🟨
60′
60′
🔁 Juanpe
↦ D. van de Beek
61′
🔁 Oriol Romeu
↦ Y. Herrera
C. Driouech 🔁
↦ N. Lang
64′
67′
🔁 C. Stuani
↦ B. Miovski
I. Saibari 🔁
↦ R. Karsdorp
71′
F. Oppegård 🔁
↦ M. Dams
71′
Ismael Saibari ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
77′
78′
🔁 Kim Min-Su
↦ Bryan Gil
79′
🔁 Jastin García
↦ Silvi
3–0 J. Bakayoko ⚽
M. Tillman
83′
R. Pepi 🔁
↦ L. de Jong
85′
I. Babadi 🔁
↦ G. Til
85′
3–1 L. Krejčí ⚽
own goal
88′
Johan Bakayoko 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Paulo Gazzaniga
91′
🟨 Cristhian Stuani
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
2 R. Karsdorp D
6 R. Flamingo D
18 O. Boscagli D
32 M. Dams D
20 G. Til M
17 Mauro Júnior M
7 M. Tillman M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
10 N. Lang F
Bench (8)
21 C. Driouech
34 I. Saibari
35 F. Oppegård
14 R. Pepi
26 I. Babadi
16 J. Drommel
24 N. Schiks
37 R. Ledezma

Coach: P. Bosz

Girona

4-2-2-2
13 P. Gazzaniga G
4 Arnau Martínez D
5 David López D
18 L. Krejčí D
17 D. Blind D
21 Y. Herrera M
28 Silvi M
20 Bryan Gil M
3 Miguel Gutiérrez M
19 B. Miovski F
6 D. van de Beek F
Bench (8)
15 Juanpe
14 Oriol Romeu
7 C. Stuani
29 Kim Min-Su
31 Jastin García
42 Lucas García
30 Enric García
25 Pau López

Coach: Míchel Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.