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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
RB Leipzig
S U T U S
2–3
Full-time
Juventus
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,37 xG 1,20
45% Possession 55%
24 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

RB Leipzig Juventus
6′
🔁 F. Gatti
↦ Bremer
12′
🔁 Francisco Conceição
↦ N. González
1–0 B. Šeško ⚽
L. Openda
30′
Half-time 1–0
B. Henrichs 🔁
↦ C. Baumgartner
46′
50′
⚽ D. Vlahović 1–1
A. Cambiaso
58′
ℹ️ Michele Di Gregorio
VAR: Card upgrade
59′
🟥 Michele Di Gregorio
60′
🔁 M. Perin
↦ K. Yıldız
61′
🔁 Douglas Luiz
↦ N. Savona
Xavi Simons ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
63′
2–1 B. Šeško ⚽
65′
68′
⚽ D. Vlahović 2–2
Francisco Conceição
A. Nusa 🔁
↦ A. Haidara
75′
David Raum 🟨
79′
82′
⚽ Francisco Conceição 2–3
N. Fagioli
85′
🟨 Francisco Conceição
Y. Poulsen 🔁
↦ N. Seiwald
87′
A. Vermeeren 🔁
↦ L. Geertruida
87′
André Silva 🔁
↦ L. Openda
90′
99′
🟨 Mattia Perin
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-4-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
3 L. Geertruida D
4 W. Orbán D
23 C. Lukeba D
22 D. Raum D
14 C. Baumgartner M
13 N. Seiwald M
8 A. Haidara M
10 X. Simons M
11 L. Openda F
30 B. Šeško F
Bench (10)
39 B. Henrichs
7 A. Nusa
9 Y. Poulsen
18 A. Vermeeren
19 André Silva
5 E. Bitshiabu
47 V. Gebel
16 L. Klostermann
26 M. Vandevoordt
6 E. Elmas

Coach: M. Rose

Juventus

4-2-3-1
29 M. Di Gregorio G
37 N. Savona D
15 P. Kalulu D
3 Bremer D
27 A. Cambiaso D
21 N. Fagioli M
16 W. McKennie M
11 N. González M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
10 K. Yıldız M
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (11)
4 F. Gatti
7 Francisco Conceição
1 M. Perin
26 Douglas Luiz
32 J. Cabal
5 M. Locatelli
40 J. Rouhi
6 Danilo
51 S. Mbangula
19 K. Thuram
23 C. Pinsoglio

Coach: T. Motta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.