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Champions League
Referee: H Osmers
Dinamo Zagreb
S T S S T
2–2
Full-time
Monaco
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
5,3
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,99 xG 1,97
38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb Monaco
22′
🟨 Mohammed Salisu
Bruno Petković 🟨
26′
28′
🟨 Breel Embolo
Arijan Ademi 🟨
38′
Martin Baturina 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Ilenikhena
↦ B. Embolo
46′
🔁 F. Balogun
↦ A. Golovin
1–0 P. Sučić ⚽
M. Baturina
48′
M. Rog 🔁
↦ A. Ademi
63′
2–0 M. Baturina ⚽
M. Rog
66′
72′
🔁 E. Ben Seghir
↦ L. Camara
72′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ Vanderson
74′
⚽ M. Salisu 2–1
M. Akliouche
L. Kačavenda 🔁
↦ M. Baturina
75′
80′
🔁 K. Ouattara
↦ Caio Henrique
Lukas Kačavenda 🟨
81′
Stefan Ristovski 🟨
90′
90′
⚽ D. Zakaria 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

3-4-2-1
33 I. Nevistić G
6 M. Bernauer D
28 K. Théophile-Catherine D
4 Raúl Torrente D
22 S. Ristovski M
25 P. Sučić M
27 J. Mišić M
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel M
5 A. Ademi F
10 M. Baturina F
9 B. Petković F
Bench (11)
30 M. Rog
8 L. Kačavenda
23 I. Filipović
77 D. Špikić
21 N. Mbuku
17 S. Kulenović
20 M. Pjaca
19 J. Córdoba
11 A. Hoxha
3 T. Ogiwara
1 D. Zagorac

Coach: N. Bjelica

Monaco

4-2-3-1
16 P. Köhn G
2 Vanderson D
5 T. Kehrer D
22 M. Salisu D
12 Caio Henrique D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
18 T. Minamino M
10 A. Golovin M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (12)
21 G. Ilenikhena
9 F. Balogun
7 E. Ben Seghir
27 K. Diatta
20 K. Ouattara
8 E. Matazo
17 W. Singo
50 Y. Lienard
1 R. Majecki
13 C. Mawissa
88 S. Magassa
4 J. Teze

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.