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Champions League
Referee: Ə Ağayev
Sturm Graz
S T T U S
0–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,43 xG 0,61
38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sturm Graz Club Brugge
23′
⚽ C. Tzolis 0–1
R. Onyedika
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Skóraś
↦ A. Skov Olsen
Emanuel Aiwu 🟨
51′
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ A. Camara
58′
Niklas Geyrhofer 🟨
66′
E. Yardımcı 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
66′
T. Horvat 🔁
↦ W. Bøving
66′
Tochi Chukwuani 🟨
70′
Malick Yalcouyé 🟨
70′
73′
🟨 Michał Skóraś
77′
🔁 R. Vermant
↦ Ferran Jutglà
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ T. Chukwuani
82′
L. Zvonarek 🔁
↦ M. Yalcouyé
82′
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-2-2-2
1 K. Scherpen G
2 M. Johnston D
47 E. Aiwu D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
22 J. Gazibegović D
21 T. Chukwuani M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
8 M. Yalcouyé M
15 W. Bøving M
36 A. Camara F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (12)
20 S. Jatta
9 E. Yardımcı
19 T. Horvat
25 S. Hierländer
14 L. Zvonarek
38 L. Grgić
40 M. Bignetti
23 A. Malić
33 O. Sorg
53 D. Khudyakov
17 E. Karić
32 K. Schopp

Coach: C. Ilzer

Club Brugge

4-1-4-1
22 S. Mignolet G
65 J. Seys D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
15 R. Onyedika M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
30 A. Jashari M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (8)
21 M. Skóraś
17 R. Vermant
29 N. Jackers
68 C. Talbi
27 C. Nielsen
10 H. Vetlesen
64 K. Sabbe
2 Z. Romero

Coach: N. Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ə Ağayev · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.