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Champions League
Referee: W Collum
FK Crvena Zvezda
S T S T T
2–2
Full-time
Young Boys
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,67 xG 2,44
50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 18
9 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 5
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
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O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.