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Champions League
Referee: R Obrenović
Antwerp
S T U U U
2–3
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,84 xG 2,27
53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Antwerp Shakhtar Donetsk
1–0 A. Muja ⚽
A. Vermeeren
3′
Mandela Keita 🟨
12′
2–0 M. Balikwisha ⚽
A. Vermeeren
34′
36′
🟨 Yukhym Konoplia
Vincent Janssen 🟨
37′
Half-time 2–1
48′
⚽ D. Sikan 2–1
66′
🟨 Yaroslav Rakitskyi
71′
⚽ Y. Rakitskyi 2–2
A. Valencia 🔁
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
74′
76′
⚽ D. Sikan 2–3
Y. Nazaryna
82′
🟨 Danylo Sikan
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ O. Wijndal
83′
A. Yusuf 🔁
↦ M. Keita
83′
Z. Van Den Bosch 🔁
↦ A. Muja
87′
87′
🔁 M. Shved
↦ D. Sikan
Toby Alderweireld 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-3-3
1 J. Butez G
34 J. Bataille D
23 T. Alderweireld D
44 S. Coulibaly D
5 O. Wijndal D
48 A. Vermeeren M
27 M. Keita M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp M
11 A. Muja F
18 V. Janssen F
10 M. Balikwisha F
Bench (8)
55 A. Valencia
9 G. Ilenikhena
8 A. Yusuf
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
91 S. Lammens
7 G. Kerk
26 O. De Wolf
19 C. Ejuke

Coach: M. van Bommel

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-2-3-1
31 D. Riznyk G
26 Y. Konoplia D
44 Y. Rakitskyi D
22 M. Matviienko D
16 I. Azarovi D
29 Y. Nazaryna M
6 T. Stepanenko M
11 O. Zubkov M
10 H. Sudakov M
8 D. Kryskiv M
14 D. Sikan F
Bench (12)
9 M. Shved
21 A. Bondarenko
18 K. Kelsy
25 N. Miroshi
27 O. Ocheretko
13 G. Gocholeishvili
19 D. Chyhrynskyi
7 Eguinaldo
90 O. Kashchuk
4 D. Castillo
1 A. Rudko
32 E. Kozik

Coach: P. van Leeuwen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.