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Champions League
Referee: B Bastien
Antwerp
U U T S T
1–4
Full-time
Porto
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,71 xG 1,29
55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Antwerp Porto
14′
🟨 Stephen Eustaquio
1–0 A. Yusuf ⚽
37′
44′
🔁 Evanilson
↦ Wendell
Half-time 1–1
46′
⚽ Evanilson 1–1
M. Taremi
47′
🟨 David Carmo
54′
⚽ S. Eustáquio 1–2
João Mário
O. Wijndal 🔁
↦ R. De Laet
60′
61′
🟨 Pepê
65′
🔁 J. Sánchez
↦ André Franco
69′
⚽ Evanilson 1–3
Pepê Aquino
Arbnor Muja 🟨
72′
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ V. Janssen
77′
A. Valencia 🔁
↦ M. Balikwisha
77′
C. Ejuke 🔁
↦ A. Muja
77′
82′
🔁 M. Grujić
↦ S. Eustáquio
83′
🔁 Nico González
↦ A. Varela
83′
🔁 Francisco Conceição
↦ Pepê Aquino
84′
⚽ Evanilson 1–4
M. Taremi
Toby Alderweireld 🟨
90′
G. Kerk 🔁
↦ A. Valencia
90′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
2 R. De Laet D
23 T. Alderweireld D
44 S. Coulibaly D
34 J. Bataille D
48 A. Vermeeren M
8 A. Yusuf M
11 A. Muja M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp M
10 M. Balikwisha M
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (10)
5 O. Wijndal
9 G. Ilenikhena
55 A. Valencia
19 C. Ejuke
7 G. Kerk
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
91 S. Lammens
3 B. Engels
26 O. De Wolf
52 K. Corbanie

Coach: M. van Bommel

Porto

4-4-2
99 Diogo Costa G
23 João Mário D
3 Pepe D
4 David Carmo D
18 Wendell D
20 André Franco M
22 A. Varela M
6 S. Eustáquio M
13 Galeno M
11 Pepê Aquino F
9 M. Taremi F
Bench (12)
30 Evanilson
15 J. Sánchez
8 M. Grujić
16 Nico González
10 Francisco Conceição
28 Romário Baró
21 Fran Navarro
2 Fábio Cardoso
70 Gonçalo Borges
19 D. Namaso
14 Cláudio Ramos
29 Toni Martínez

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.