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Champions League
Referee: M Mariani
Porto
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Antwerp
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 54%
67%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
67%
80%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,32 xG 0,59
69% Possession 31%
16 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -23 Antwerp – Porto 1–4

Match report

Porto Antwerp
20′
🟨 Alhassan Yusuf
1–0 Evanilson
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Bataille
↦ R. De Laet
47′
🟨 Arthur Vermeeren
51′
ℹ️ Jürgen Ekkelenkamp
VAR: Card upgrade
52′
🟥 Jürgen Ekkelenkamp
David Carmo 🟨
58′
62′
🟨 Owen Wijndal
Francisco Conceição 🔁
↦ M. Taremi
69′
69′
🔁 A. Muja
↦ M. Balikwisha
69′
🔁 K. Corbanie
↦ O. Wijndal
75′
🔁 V. Janssen
↦ G. Ilenikhena
75′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ G. Kerk
D. Namaso 🔁
↦ André Franco
82′
Fran Navarro 🔁
↦ Evanilson
83′
J. Sánchez 🔁
↦ Z. Sanusi
83′
Francisco Conceição 🟨
84′
2–0 Pepe
Francisco Conceição
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-4-2
99 Diogo Costa G
23 João Mário D
3 Pepe D
4 David Carmo D
12 Z. Sanusi D
20 André Franco M
22 A. Varela M
6 S. Eustáquio M
11 Pepê Aquino M
30 Evanilson F
9 M. Taremi F
Bench (12)
10 Francisco Conceição
19 D. Namaso
21 Fran Navarro
15 J. Sánchez
8 M. Grujić
28 Romário Baró
87 Bernardo Folha
2 Fábio Cardoso
16 Nico González
14 Cláudio Ramos
70 Gonçalo Borges
29 Toni Martínez

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
91 S. Lammens G
2 R. De Laet D
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
44 S. Coulibaly D
5 O. Wijndal D
8 A. Yusuf M
48 A. Vermeeren M
7 G. Kerk M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp M
10 M. Balikwisha M
9 G. Ilenikhena F
Bench (9)
34 J. Bataille
11 A. Muja
52 K. Corbanie
18 V. Janssen
19 C. Ejuke
26 O. De Wolf
77 M. Horemans
56 E. Tuypens
81 N. Devalckeneer

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.