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League Cup
Referee: C Pollard
Wycombe
S S T T S
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wycombe Sutton Utd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wycombe 10. · Sutton Utd 33.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Swansea 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Newport County 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Gillingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Mansfield Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Port Vale 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Doncaster 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Exeter City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 AFC Wimbledon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Harrogate Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Colchester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Sutton Utd 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Cambridge United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Crewe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Peterborough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Swindon Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Bradford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Stevenage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Wrexham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Walsall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Barrow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Forest Green 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Notts County 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wycombe Sutton Utd
19′
A. O'Brien 0–1
J. Coley
Joe Low 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
L. Leahy 🔁
↦ H. Boyes
46′
Luke Leahy 🟨
50′
58′
🟨 Josh Coley
61′
🔁 J. Kizzi
↦ R. Jackson
61′
🔁 L. Angol
↦ A. OBrien
T. De Barr 🔁
↦ G. McCleary
70′
D. Wheeler 🔁
↦ K. Phillips
70′
72′
🔁 O. Sowunmi
↦ H. Smith
77′
🟨 Omar Sowunmi
83′
🔁 S. Kashket
↦ R. Milsom
83′
🔁 H. Beautyman
↦ J. Coley
K. Breckin 🔁
↦ S. Vokes
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Wycombe

3-5-2
1 M. Stryjek G
5 C. Forino-Joseph D
16 R. Keogh D
17 J. Low D
44 K. Vincent-Young M
22 K. Phillips M
4 J. Scowen M
19 F. Potts M
11 H. Boyes M
12 G. McCleary F
9 S. Vokes F
Bench (9)
10 L. Leahy
29 T. De Barr
7 D. Wheeler
8 K. Breckin
39 D. Skura
35 C. Ward
13 L. Shala
31 J. Pattenden
26 J. McCarthy

Coach: M. Bloomfield

Sutton Utd

4-4-2
1 J. Rose G
23 R. Jackson D
6 L. John D
5 B. Goodliffe D
24 R. Milsom D
7 J. Coley M
8 C. N'Guessan M
16 C. Clay M
11 O. Patrick M
9 H. Smith F
40 A. O'Brien F
Bench (9)
22 J. Kizzi
33 L. Angol
4 O. Sowunmi
20 S. Kashket
10 H. Beautyman
13 B. House
14 C. Dundas
29 H. Kasimu
19 T. Fadahunsi

Coach: M. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.