← Match Finder
League Cup
Referee: D Whitestone
Plymouth
S S U T T
2–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Plymouth Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 9
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Swansea 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Newport County 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Gillingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Mansfield Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Port Vale 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Doncaster 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Exeter City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 AFC Wimbledon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Harrogate Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Colchester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Sutton Utd 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Cambridge United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Crewe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Peterborough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Swindon Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Bradford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Stevenage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Wrexham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Walsall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Barrow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Forest Green 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Notts County 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Plymouth Crystal Palace
1–0 B. Waine
6′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 L. Cundle
C. Wright
46′
55′
🔁 J. Ayew
↦ J. Rak-Sakyi
55′
🔁 E. Eze
↦ J. Riedewald
56′
🔁 J. Schlupp
↦ N. Ahamada
58′
O. Édouard 2–1
J. Ayew
61′
J. Mateta 2–2
E. Eze
62′
J. Mateta 2–3
J. Schlupp
M. Whittaker 🔁
↦ L. Cundle
70′
F. Azaz 🔁
↦ T. Wright
71′
B. Mumba 🔁
↦ M. Miller
71′
Matt Butcher 🟨
79′
R. Hardie 🔁
↦ B. Waine
80′
F. Issaka 🔁
↦ L. Warrington
80′
83′
J. Mateta 2–4
E. Eze
84′
🟨 Jean-Philippe Mateta
84′
🔁 M. Guéhi
↦ J. Tomkins
Dan Scarr 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Plymouth

4-4-2
25 C. Burton G
29 K. Kesler-Hayden D
6 D. Scarr D
5 Julio Pleguezuelo D
14 M. Miller D
19 T. Wright M
7 M. Butcher M
16 L. Warrington M
11 C. Wright M
28 L. Cundle F
23 B. Waine F
Bench (9)
10 M. Whittaker
18 F. Azaz
2 B. Mumba
9 R. Hardie
35 F. Issaka
21 C. Hazard
20 A. Randell
8 J. Edwards
3 M. Gillesphey

Coach: S. Schumacher

Crystal Palace

4-4-2
1 S. Johnstone G
17 N. Clyne D
5 J. Tomkins D
26 C. Richards D
3 T. Mitchell D
49 J. Rak-Sakyi M
44 J. Riedewald M
8 J. Lerma M
29 N. Ahamada M
14 J. Mateta F
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (9)
9 J. Ayew
10 E. Eze
15 J. Schlupp
6 M. Guéhi
2 J. Ward
42 S. Grehan
40 J. Wells-Morrison
31 R. Matthews
37 J. Gordon

Coach: R. Hodgson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.