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League Cup
Referee: J Gillett
Wolves
U T T T S
5–0
Full-time
Blackpool
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Blackpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

72% Possession 28%
13 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Swansea 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Newport County 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Gillingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Mansfield Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Port Vale 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Doncaster 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Exeter City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 AFC Wimbledon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Harrogate Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Colchester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Sutton Utd 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Cambridge United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Crewe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Peterborough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Swindon Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Bradford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Stevenage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Wrexham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Walsall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Barrow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Forest Green 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Notts County 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Blackpool
1–0 S. Kalajdzic
10′
2–0 Fábio Silva
Pablo Sarabia
25′
Saša Kalajdžić 🟨
40′
Half-time 2–0
H. Griffiths 🔁
↦ J. Hodge
55′
57′
🟨 Jensen Weir
3–0 M. Doherty
Pablo Sarabia
60′
61′
🔁 T. Oakley-Boothe
↦ J. Weir
N. Fraser 🔁
↦ S. Kalajdzic
62′
4–0 M. Doherty
N. Fraser
66′
67′
🔁 R. Apter
↦ S. Carey
67′
🔁 C. Hamilton
↦ J. Beesley
A. Pond 🔁
↦ M. Kilman
81′
Hugo Bueno 🔁
↦ R. Aït-Nouri
81′
84′
🔁 A. Morgan
↦ D. Thompson
5–0 N. Fraser
Pablo Sarabia
84′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Wolves

3-5-2
25 D. Bentley G
2 M. Doherty D
23 M. Kilman D
24 Toti Gomes D
19 Jonny M
21 Pablo Sarabia M
6 B. Traoré M
32 J. Hodge M
3 R. Aït-Nouri M
18 S. Kalajdzic F
29 Fábio Silva F
Bench (9)
42 H. Griffiths
63 N. Fraser
46 A. Pond
17 Hugo Bueno
15 C. Dawson
12 Matheus Cunha
8 João Gomes
40 T. King
78 E. Ballard-Matthews

Coach: G. O'Neil

Blackpool

3-5-2
1 R. O'Donnell G
5 M. Pennington D
21 M. Ekpiteta D
2 C. Connolly D
24 A. Lyons M
17 M. Virtue-Thick M
12 K. Dougall M
15 J. Weir M
23 D. Thompson M
18 J. Beesley F
10 S. Carey F
Bench (9)
30 T. Oakley-Boothe
25 R. Apter
22 C. Hamilton
8 A. Morgan
32 D. Grimshaw
7 O. Dale
33 D. Tharme
20 O. Casey
3 J. Husband

Coach: N. Critchley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.