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League Cup

Referee: O Langford

Salford City

T U T U

1–1

Full-time

Leeds

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salford City Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

75%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%

5 Shots 33

2 Shots on target 9

0 Blocked shots 11

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 16

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salford City 40. · Leeds 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Norwich	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Cardiff	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Portsmouth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Newport County	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Mansfield Town	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Sutton Utd	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Port Vale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Exeter City	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Reading	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Gillingham	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Luton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Wycombe	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Bolton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	-3	3
32	Sheffield Weds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
33	Peterborough	2	0	2	0	+0	2
34	Bradford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
35	Stevenage	2	0	2	0	+0	2
36	Crewe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
37	Wrexham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
38	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Cambridge United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Swindon Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Tranmere	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	Rotherham	2	0	1	1	-5	1
55	Walsall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Fleetwood Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Shrewsbury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Forest Green	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Notts County	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Newport County	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Port Vale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Exeter City	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Mansfield Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Luton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Bolton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Sheffield Weds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Wrexham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Sutton Utd	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Portsmouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Peterborough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Stevenage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Forest Green	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Notts County	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Tranmere	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Norwich	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Reading	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Sutton Utd	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Bradford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Crewe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Cambridge United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Peterborough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Swindon Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Stevenage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Walsall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Fleetwood Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Shrewsbury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.