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Pro League

Referee: M Ledda

Mechelen

S T T S S

1–1

Full-time

Dender

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 13/15 matches

Win Ø 31%

54%

Points per game

1,9

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

31%

53%

Both score Ø 57%

54%

60%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,4

0,7

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,83 xG 1,34

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 5

8 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mechelen 3. · Dender 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	4	0	+21	+16.4	31
2	Club Brugge	13	10	1	2	+13	+5.3	31
3	Mechelen	13	7	4	2	+7	-3.4	25
4	St Truiden	11	7	2	2	+5	+10.5	23
5	Gent	10	6	1	3	+3	+1.7	19
6	Anderlecht	13	5	4	4	+2	+3.4	19
7	Antwerp	14	5	4	5	+1	-3.3	19
8	Waregem	15	5	3	7	-3	-7.4	18
9	Westerlo	13	4	5	4	+1	+5.2	17
10	Charleroi	14	4	3	7	-4	-1.6	15
11	Standard	14	4	3	7	-9	-7.8	15
12	Cercle Brugge	16	3	5	8	-4	+2.0	14
13	RAAL La Louviere	15	3	5	7	-6	-8.1	14
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	3	4	6	-6	-3.5	13
15	Genk	10	3	3	4	-2	+2.3	12
16	Dender	15	1	3	11	-19	-11.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	6	0	0	+16	+9.0	18
2	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.4	13
3	Gent	5	4	0	1	+7	+2.3	12
4	Antwerp	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.1	12
5	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
6	Westerlo	6	3	2	1	+6	+5.2	11
7	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
8	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.4	9
9	RAAL La Louviere	7	2	3	2	-1	-3.6	9
10	Anderlecht	6	2	2	2	+2	+4.4	8
11	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.2	8
12	Genk	6	2	1	3	-2	+3.1	7
13	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	-5	+1.8	6
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	2	4	-1	-1.1	5
15	Standard	6	0	3	3	-5	-1.3	3
16	Dender	7	0	1	6	-11	-6.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	+9	+3.9	18
2	Mechelen	8	5	2	1	+6	-3.5	17
3	St. Gilloise	7	3	4	0	+5	+7.4	13
4	Standard	8	4	0	4	-4	-6.4	12
5	St Truiden	5	3	2	0	+4	+6.2	11
6	Anderlecht	7	3	2	2	+0	-1.0	11
7	Cercle Brugge	6	2	2	2	+1	+0.2	8
8	Waregem	8	2	2	4	-4	-4.6	8
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	2	2	2	-5	-2.4	8
10	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.2	7
11	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
12	Charleroi	7	2	0	5	-4	-1.2	6
13	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-5	-0.0	6
14	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
15	RAAL La Louviere	8	1	2	5	-5	-4.5	5
16	Dender	8	1	2	5	-8	-5.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.