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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Genk
U S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,8
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 43%
53%
32%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
65%
44%
Both score Ø 68%
74%
62%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
5 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 3. · Anderlecht 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 34 23 6 5 +47 75
2 Antwerp 34 19 8 7 +18 65
3 Genk 34 18 10 6 +27 64
4 Mechelen 34 17 8 9 +12 59
5 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
6 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
7 Gent 34 15 7 12 +22 52
8 Oostende 34 15 7 12 +8 52
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
10 Anderlecht 34 11 18 5 +15 51
11 Standard 34 13 9 12 +4 48
12 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
13 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 36 8 8 20 -29 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Anderlecht
33′
A. El Hadj 0–1
Y. Verschaeren
Daniel Muñoz 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
Patrik Hrošovský 🟨
62′
66′
🟨 Albert Sambi Lokonga
67′
🔁 J. Bruun Larsen
↦ M. Ashimeru
67′
🔁 F. Amuzu
↦ L. Nmecha
1–1 P. Onuachu
J. Ito
67′
Bryan Heynen 🟨
79′
Jhon Lucumi 🟨
79′
83′
🔁 M. Dauda
↦ Y. Verschaeren
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
2 M. McKenzie
14 B. Toma
24 L. Oyen
77 A. Preciado
40 T. Leysen
21 J. Uronen
9 C. Dessers

Coach: J. van den Brom

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
16 B. Verbruggen G
20 M. Miazga D
14 B. Mykhaylichenko D
62 M. Murillo D
54 K. Sardella D
8 J. Cullen M
18 M. Ashimeru M
48 A. Lokonga M
51 Y. Verschaeren M
46 A. El Hadj M
7 L. Nmecha F
Bench (7)
11 J. Bruun Larsen
40 F. Amuzu
38 M. Dauda
12 P. Mukairu
22 E. Cobbaut
1 T. Wellenreuther
25 A. Trebel

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U ✓
3,35
B
2,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.