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2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
S T U S S
2–4
Full-time
Osnabruck
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Osnabruck
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 53%
73%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 3
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 6. · Osnabruck 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bielefeld 16 9 6 1 +17 33
2 Hamburg 16 8 5 3 +17 29
3 Heidenheim 16 7 5 4 +7 26
4 Stuttgart 15 8 2 5 +4 26
5 Erzgebirge Aue 15 6 5 4 +1 23
6 Holstein Kiel 15 6 3 6 +1 21
7 Sandhausen 15 5 6 4 +1 21
8 Regensburg 15 5 5 5 +3 20
9 Osnabruck 15 5 5 5 +3 20
10 Karlsruhe 16 4 8 4 -2 20
11 Greuther Furth 15 5 4 6 -3 19
12 Darmstadt 15 4 6 5 -5 18
13 Bochum 15 3 8 4 +0 17
14 Hannover 15 4 5 6 -8 17
15 St Pauli 15 3 6 6 -3 15
16 Nurnberg 15 3 6 6 -8 15
17 Wehen 15 3 4 8 -13 13
18 Dresden 15 3 3 9 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,80
U
3,73
B ✓
4,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.