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Super League
Referee: A Koutsiaftis
AEK
S T U U T
5–0
Full-time
Panionios
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panionios
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
38%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

73% Possession 27%
14 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 5. · Panionios 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 14 9 5 0 +13 32
2 Olympiakos 13 9 4 0 +16 31
3 Larisa 13 6 3 4 +2 21
4 OFI Crete 13 6 2 5 +7 20
5 AEK 13 5 4 4 +1 19
6 Xanthi 14 6 1 7 -4 19
7 Aris 12 4 5 3 +5 17
8 Aris Thessalonikis 12 4 5 3 +5 17
9 Volos NFC 13 5 1 7 -8 16
10 Panathinaikos 13 4 4 5 -8 16
11 Lamia 13 3 6 4 -5 15
12 Atromitos 12 4 2 6 +1 14
13 Panionios 13 3 4 6 -6 13
14 Asteras Tripolis 13 3 2 8 -4 11
15 Panetolikos 13 0 4 9 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Panionios
1–0 Nélson Oliveira
17′
2–0 Nélson Oliveira
M. Livaja
27′
44′
🔁 S. Tsiloulis
↦ B. Arabuli
Half-time 2–0
60′
🔁 D. Emmanouilidis
↦ I. Oikonomidis
Marko Livaja 🟨
64′
3–0 Nélson Oliveira
64′
A. Šabanadžović 🔁
↦ M. Livaja
72′
73′
🔁 N. Milojević
↦ G. Masouras
75′
🟨 Giannis Papanikolaou
C. Albanis 🔁
↦ N. Krstičić
76′
4–0 D. Verde
77′
G. Giakoumakis 🔁
↦ Nélson Oliveira
80′
84′
🟨 Stefanos Evangelou
5–0 P. Mandalos
89′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
19 D. Chygrynskiy D
23 N. Hult D
2 M. Bakakis D
4 M. Oikonomou D
6 N. Krstičić M
20 P. Mandalos M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
18 Nélson Oliveira F
10 M. Livaja F
7 D. Verde F
Bench (7)
44 A. Šabanadžović
14 C. Albanis
9 G. Giakoumakis
27 Paulinho
24 E. Svarnas
11 M. Deletić
16 P. Tsintotas

Coach: N. Kostenoglou

Panionios

4-1-4-1
67 J. Malherbe G
22 T. Papageorgiou D
31 G. Masouras D
4 S. Evangelou D
14 D. Stavropoulos D
13 O. Lymperakis -
7 P. Korbos M
20 P. Arce M
16 I. Oikonomidis M
27 G. Papanikolaou M
10 B. Arabuli F
Bench (7)
23 S. Tsiloulis
77 D. Emmanouilidis
44 N. Milojević
12 M. Kotnik
11 O. Camara
28 F. Grivas
3 G. Saramantas

Coach: N. Papavasiliou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
5,51
B
11,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,93
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Koutsiaftis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
31,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.