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Conference League
Referee: J Kehlet
Riga
S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Gil Vicente
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Riga Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 46%
25%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3 Corners 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Riga Gil Vicente
1–0 Douglas Aurélio ⚽
17′
Yuri Vakulko 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 Kevin Villodres
↦ M. Arai
60′
🔁 Matheus Bueno
↦ Pedro Tiba
63′
⚽ J. Boselli 1–1
Rangel 🔁
↦ M. Torres
64′
65′
🟨 Henrique Gomes
Gabriel Ramos da Penha 🟨
67′
Y. Kendysh 🔁
↦ Gabriel Ramos
70′
75′
🟨 Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga
81′
🔁 A. Alipourghara
↦ Fran Navarro
M. Ngom 🔁
↦ Douglas Aurélio
92′
O. Ogunji 🔁
↦ M. Soisalo
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Riga

4-1-4-1
16 N. Puriņš G
13 R. Jurkovskis D
55 G. Dulanto D
6 D. Bergqvist D
25 N. Muzinga D
14 H. Babec M
97 M. Torres F
30 Douglas Aurélio F
7 Y. Vakulko M
11 M. Soisalo F
10 Gabriel Ramos M
Bench (10)
95 Rangel
77 Y. Kendysh
29 M. Ngom
17 O. Ogunji
19 J. Barnes
1 D. Ošs
3 A. Kurakins
8 R. Rugins
9 A. Pētersons
12 R. Ozols

Coach: S. Perković

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
42 Andrew G
78 Danilo Veiga D
3 Lucas Cunha D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
55 Henrique Gomes D
21 Vitor Carvalho M
10 K. Fujimoto M
25 Pedro Tiba M
20 J. Boselli M
9 Fran Navarro F
18 M. Arai M
Bench (9)
17 Kevin Villodres
57 Matheus Bueno
30 A. Alipourghara
8 G. Aburjania
72 Tomás Araújo
11 Boubacar Hanne
12 Brian Araújo
5 E. Hackman
53 João Barros

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.