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Conference League
Referee: M Balakin
Gil Vicente
T S T U S
4–0
Full-time
Riga
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Riga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 57%
33%
80%
Points per game
1,3
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,6
This season — Conference League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
0%
80%
Points per game
1,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
0%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
100%
40%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

4 Corners 3
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Aug -22 Riga – Gil Vicente 1–1

Match report

Gil Vicente Riga
0–1 N. Muzinga ⚽
own goal
16′
22′
🟨 Gustavo Dulanto
1–1 Kevin Villodres ⚽
22′
Carraça 🟨
40′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Fran Navarro ⚽
46′
Boubacar Hanne 🔁
↦ J. Boselli
46′
Danilo Veiga 🔁
↦ Carraça
46′
46′
🔁 Rangel
↦ M. Torres
46′
🔁 Y. Kendysh
↦ Douglas Aurélio
Vítor Carvalho 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Yuri Kendysh
M. Arai 🔁
↦ Kevin Villodres
59′
Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga 🟨
60′
65′
🔁 M. Ngom
↦ R. Jurkovskis
G. Aburjania 🔁
↦ Vitor Carvalho
68′
3–1 Fran Navarro ⚽
76′
A. Alipourghara 🔁
↦ Fran Navarro
77′
78′
🔁 A. Pētersons
↦ M. Soisalo
85′
🔁 R. Rugins
↦ H. Babec
87′
🟨 Ngonda Muzinga
89′
🟨 Yuri Vakulko
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
42 Andrew G
15 Carraça D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
3 Lucas Cunha D
55 Henrique Gomes D
25 Pedro Tiba M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
10 K. Fujimoto M
20 J. Boselli M
9 Fran Navarro F
17 Kevin Villodres F
Bench (12)
11 Boubacar Hanne
78 Danilo Veiga
18 M. Arai
8 G. Aburjania
30 A. Alipourghara
5 E. Hackman
4 Manuel Lopes
57 Matheus Bueno
72 Tomás Araújo
93 Élder Santana
12 Brian Araújo
16 Andre Simões

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Riga

4-3-2-1
16 N. Puriņš G
13 R. Jurkovskis D
55 G. Dulanto D
6 D. Bergqvist D
25 N. Muzinga D
11 M. Soisalo F
14 H. Babec M
30 Douglas Aurélio F
97 M. Torres F
7 Y. Vakulko M
10 Gabriel Ramos M
Bench (9)
95 Rangel
77 Y. Kendysh
29 M. Ngom
9 A. Pētersons
8 R. Rugins
19 J. Barnes
3 A. Kurakins
1 D. Ošs
12 R. Ozols

Coach: S. Perković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Balakin · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.