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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota
Benfica
U S T S S
4–0
Full-time
Arouca
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Arouca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,3
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

73% Possession 27%
20 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jan -22 Arouca – Benfica 0–2 14. Aug -21 Benfica – Arouca 2–0 10. Feb -17 Benfica – Arouca 3–0 9. Sep -16 Arouca – Benfica 1–2 23. Jan -16 Benfica – Arouca 3–1

Match report

Benfica Arouca
1′
🟨 Jerome Opoku
1–0 Gilberto ⚽
Álex Grimaldo
8′
Chiquinho 🔁
↦ João Mário
34′
2–0 Rafa ⚽
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
ℹ️ Mateus Quaresma
VAR: Card upgrade
46′
🔁 Rafael Tavares
↦ Rafa Mújica
46′
🔁 A. Bukia
↦ Arsénio
46′
🔁 B. Milovanov
↦ A. Ruiz
47′
🟥 Mateus Quaresma
3–0 E. Fernández ⚽
Gonçalo Ramos
51′
Florentino Luís 🟨
55′
A. Bah 🔁
↦ Gilberto
63′
J. Weigl 🔁
↦ Florentino
64′
69′
🔁 I. Soro
↦ Oriol Busquets
Henrique Araújo 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Ramos
72′
R. Yaremchuk 🔁
↦ David Neres
72′
79′
🔁 Bruno Marques
↦ Antony
Julian Weigl 🟨
82′
Rafa Silva 🟨
83′
4–0 Rafa ⚽
A. Bah
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
2 Gilberto D
30 N. Otamendi D
91 Morato D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
13 E. Fernández M
61 Florentino M
7 David Neres M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (9)
22 Chiquinho
6 A. Bah
28 J. Weigl
39 Henrique Araújo
9 R. Yaremchuk
33 P. Musa
77 Helton Leite
66 António Silva
5 J. Vertonghen

Coach: R. Schmidt

Arouca

5-4-1
12 I. De Arruabarrena G
28 Tiago Esgaio D
13 João Basso D
3 J. Opoku D
6 Quaresma D
8 Arsénio D
11 Antony M
14 Oriol Busquets M
17 Y. Moses M
10 A. Ruiz M
19 Rafa Mújica F
Bench (9)
64 Rafael Tavares
7 A. Bukia
21 B. Milovanov
23 I. Soro
9 Bruno Marques
32 M. Kizza
2 M. Sylla
1 E. Zubas
43 Vitinho

Coach: Armando Evangelista

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
🔒
U
7,51
🔒
B
18,19
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,49
🔒
U2,5
2,56
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Manuel Mota · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.