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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Portimonense

T S T U T

2–0

Full-time

Farense

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Farense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 18%

18%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

36%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

1,9

2,5

Scored

0,6

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

13 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Portimonense 18. · Farense 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+20	32
2	Porto	12	9	1	2	+16	28
3	Benfica	12	9	1	2	+13	28
4	Sp Braga	12	8	0	4	+9	24
5	Pacos Ferreira	12	5	4	3	+3	19
6	Guimaraes	11	6	1	4	+3	19
7	Maritimo	12	4	2	6	-2	14
8	Santa Clara	12	4	2	6	-4	14
9	Nacional	11	3	4	4	-2	13
10	Gil Vicente	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	Moreirense	12	3	4	5	-5	13
12	Belenenses	12	2	6	4	-3	12
13	Tondela	12	3	3	6	-10	12
14	Famalicao	12	2	5	5	-7	11
15	Rio Ave	12	2	5	5	-9	11
16	Boavista	12	1	7	4	-8	10
17	Farense	11	2	3	6	-4	9
18	Portimonense	11	2	2	7	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	Benfica	6	5	0	1	+6	15
4	Pacos Ferreira	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	Sp Braga	5	4	0	1	+5	12
6	Moreirense	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Tondela	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	Nacional	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Farense	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Maritimo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Belenenses	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Famalicao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Guimaraes	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	Portimonense	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Santa Clara	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Guimaraes	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Benfica	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Sp Braga	7	4	0	3	+4	12
5	Porto	5	3	1	1	+6	10
6	Santa Clara	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Maritimo	6	2	0	4	-2	6
9	Boavista	7	0	6	1	-2	6
10	Belenenses	6	1	3	2	-2	6
11	Rio Ave	7	1	3	3	-6	6
12	Famalicao	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Nacional	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Portimonense	6	1	0	5	-5	3
16	Moreirense	6	0	2	4	-8	2
17	Farense	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Tondela	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.