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Eredivisie
Referee: Jannick van der Laan
Zwolle
U T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Ajax
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
3,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,59 xG 1,54
31% Possession 69%
7 Shots 26
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 12
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 10
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -26 Zwolle – Ajax 0–0 13. Sep -25 Ajax – Zwolle 3–1 9. Mar -25 Zwolle – Ajax 0–1 24. Nov -24 Ajax – Zwolle 2–0 31. Mar -24 Zwolle – Ajax 1–3

Match report

Zwolle Ajax
33′
🟨 Abdellah Ouazane
Half-time 0–0
Sherel Constancio Floranus 🟥
57′
D. van der Haar 🔁
↦ I. Cissoko
60′
G. Reiziger 🔁
↦ D. Mbayo
61′
61′
🔁 J. Brandt
↦ S. Berghuis
61′
🔁 M. Godts
↦ Y. Regeer
61′
🔁 J. Mokio
↦ O. Gloukh
67′
🔁 Marcos Leonardo
↦ K. Dolberg
73′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ A. Ouazane
T. Velthuis 🔁
↦ T. Oosting
74′
76′
⚽ J. Mokio 0–1
T. Arokodare
O. Velanas 🔁
↦ R. Thomas
85′
E. Sorensen 🔁
↦ T. Sommer
85′
86′
🟨 Davy Klaassen
Gabriel Reiziger 🟨
88′
Koen Kostons 🟨
89′
90′
⚽ J. Brandt 0–2
M. Godts
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 J. Schendelaar G
3 O. Aertssen D
28 S. Graves D
24 N. Viergever D
2 S. Floranus D
8 T. Sommer M
30 R. Thomas M
11 D. Mbayo M
25 T. Oosting M
22 I. Cissoko M
10 K. Kostons F
Bench (12)
41 D. Verduin
16 T. de Graaff
4 T. Velthuis
33 D. van der Haar
42 D. Ruward
34 N. Fichtinger
26 J. Pereira da Gama
18 O. Velanas
9 E. Sorensen
38 G. Rahajaan
20 G. Reiziger
37 G. van der Wal

Coach: Henry Van Der Vegt

Ajax

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
2 L. Rosa D
30 A. Bouwman D
15 Y. Baas D
12 Caio Henrique D
18 D. Klaassen M
6 Y. Regeer M
10 O. Gloukh M
23 S. Berghuis F
9 K. Dolberg F
68 A. Ouazane F
Bench (12)
22 J. Heerkens
26 M. Paes
17 D. Blind
5 O. Wijndal
20 O. Edvardsen
99 T. Arokodare
38 Marcos Leonardo
3 A. Gaaei
8 J. Brandt
11 M. Godts
7 M. Carrizo
24 J. Mokio

Coach: Michel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,68
🔒
U
4,59
🔒
B ✓
1,46
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,44
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,62
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jannick van der Laan · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.