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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
Twente
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Nijmegen
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 49%
47%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
47%
77%
Both score Ø 72%
63%
80%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,4
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,28 xG 1,86
49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 4. · Nijmegen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 31 25 2 4 +49 +31.0 77
2 Feyenoord 31 17 7 7 +23 +25.4 58
3 Nijmegen 30 15 9 6 +24 +9.7 54
4 Twente 30 14 11 5 +19 +26.8 53
5 Ajax 30 13 12 5 +20 +8.9 51
6 AZ Alkmaar 31 14 7 10 +7 +19.3 49
7 Heerenveen 30 13 7 10 +4 +10.2 46
8 Utrecht 29 12 7 10 +13 +2.4 43
9 Groningen 30 12 6 12 +5 +12.2 42
10 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 -17 -5.6 42
11 Go Ahead Eagles 31 8 13 10 +5 -17.2 37
12 For Sittard 31 10 6 15 -12 -15.5 36
13 Zwolle 31 8 10 13 -25 -17.6 34
14 Telstar 31 7 9 15 -10 -11.4 30
15 Volendam 30 7 7 16 -19 -24.2 28
16 Excelsior 30 7 7 16 -20 -17.7 28
17 NAC Breda 31 5 10 16 -23 -10.5 25
18 Heracles 30 5 4 21 -43 -26.2 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Nijmegen
1–0 S. Orjasaeter
D. Rots
10′
18′
🟨 Noe Lebreton
26′
🟨 Deveron Fonville
37′
B. Linssen 1–1
P. Sandler
Half-time 1–1
R. van Wolfswinkel 🔁
↦ S. Lammers
66′
R. Propper 🔁
↦ R. Nijstad
66′
66′
🔁 D. Proper
↦ B. Nuytinck
D. Weidmann 🔁
↦ T. van den Belt
77′
M. Kjolo 🔁
↦ K. Hlynsson
78′
Mats Rots 🟨
79′
85′
🔁 Danilo Pereira
↦ B. Linssen
A. Verschueren 🔁
↦ D. Rots
87′
92′
🔁 B. Pereira
↦ T. Chery
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
23 S. Lemkin D
43 R. Nijstad D
39 M. Rots D
6 R. Zerrouki M
20 T. van den Belt M
11 D. Rots M
14 K. Hlynsson M
27 S. Orjasaeter M
10 S. Lammers F
Bench (12)
22 P. Tyton
21 S. Karssies
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
8 T. Booth
42 D. Weidmann
12 G. Peixoto
7 M. Pjaca
3 R. Propper
32 A. Verschueren
4 M. Kjolo
38 M. Bruns
25 L. Vennegoor of Hesselink

Coach: John van den Brom

Nijmegen

3-4-1-2
1 G. Crettaz G
14 E. Dasa D
17 B. Nuytinck D
24 D. Fonville D
23 K. Sano M
3 P. Sandler M
6 D. Nejasmic M
20 N. Lebreton M
25 S. Ouaissa F
10 T. Chery F
30 B. Linssen F
Bench (12)
22 J. Cillessen
31 R. Janse
8 I. Hansen-Aaroen
15 J. Willems
7 V. Misidjan
18 K. Ogawa
5 T. Ouwejan
19 W. T. Willumsson
34 Y. El Kachati
9 Danilo Pereira
71 D. Proper
2 B. Pereira

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,92
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,41
U2,5 ✓
2,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.