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Serie B
Referee: E Feliciani
Reggiana
U T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Palermo
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 39%
23%
54%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
49%
46%
Both score Ø 47%
54%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,85 xG 1,48
30% Possession 70%
3 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 7
6 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 20. · Palermo 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Venezia 35 22 9 4 +42 +32.6 75
2 Monza 36 22 9 5 +30 +16.0 75
3 Frosinone 35 20 12 3 +33 +10.4 72
4 Palermo 35 19 11 5 +29 +11.5 68
5 Catanzaro 36 15 14 7 +13 -0.3 59
6 Modena 36 14 10 12 +13 +7.2 52
7 Juve Stabia 35 11 16 8 +0 -0.4 49
8 Avellino 36 12 10 14 -12 -12.8 46
9 Cesena 35 12 8 15 -10 +3.7 44
10 Carrarese 35 10 13 12 -1 -5.4 43
11 Sudtirol 35 8 16 11 -6 -5.5 40
12 Mantova 35 11 7 17 -11 +1.0 40
13 Padova 35 10 10 15 -11 -11.8 40
14 Sampdoria 35 10 10 15 -13 -2.1 40
15 Empoli 35 8 13 14 -6 +3.7 37
16 Virtus Entella 35 8 12 15 -15 -9.8 36
17 Bari 36 8 10 18 -25 -23.8 34
18 Pescara 35 7 12 16 -14 -3.4 33
19 Spezia 36 8 9 19 -16 -0.2 33
20 Reggiana 35 8 9 18 -20 -10.6 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Palermo
11′
🟨 Antonio Palumbo
1–0 M. Lambourde
21′
30′
A. Palumbo 1–1
N. Pierozzi
Alessandro Micai 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–1
M. Bertagnoli 🔁
↦ T. Reinhart
46′
A. Tripaldelli 🔁
↦ K. Bozhanaj
46′
66′
🔁 D. Johnsen
↦ J. Segre
N. Girma 🔁
↦ C. Gondo
74′
74′
🔁 A. Vasic
↦ R. Modesto
74′
🔁 G. Corona
↦ J. Le Douaron
Andrea Papetti ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
82′
Andrea Papetti 🟥
83′
84′
🔁 E. Gyasi
↦ P. Ceccaroni
M. Rover 🔁
↦ M. Lambourde
88′
Mateus Lusuardi 🟨
89′
Matteo Rover 🟨
90′
Matteo Rover ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
91′
Charlys 🔁
↦ L. Belardinelli
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Reggiana

4-3-2-1
1 A. Micai G
2 A. Papetti D
34 F. Vicari D
47 Mateus Lusuardi D
43 S. Bonetti D
16 T. Reinhart M
57 L. Belardinelli M
10 K. Bozhanaj M
93 M. Lambourde M
90 M. Portanova M
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (12)
12 A. Seculin
45 M. Cardinali
14 D. Quaranta
23 M. Rover
26 M. Bertagnoli
77 T. Fumagalli
80 N. Girma
66 P. Pinelli
9 A. Novakovich
33 A. Tripaldelli
8 Charlys
6 F. Vallarelli

Coach: Pierpaolo Bisoli

Palermo

3-4-2-1
66 J. Joronen G
27 N. Pierozzi D
29 P. Peda D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
18 R. Modesto M
8 J. Segre M
10 F. Ranocchia M
3 T. Augello M
21 J. Le Douaron F
5 A. Palumbo F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (12)
1 A. Gomis
77 F. Di Bartolo
19 B. Bereszynski
11 E. Gyasi
13 M. Bani
28 A. Blin
96 G. Magnani
7 D. Johnsen
17 S. Giovane
14 A. Vasic
31 G. Corona
72 D. Veroli

Coach: Filippo Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,39
U ✓
3,77
B
1,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Feliciani · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.