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La Liga
Referee: A Ruiz
Valencia
T S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Girona
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,40 xG 1,56
37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 15. · Girona 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 33 28 1 4 +57 +40.7 85
2 Real Madrid 33 23 5 5 +37 +34.3 74
3 Villarreal 32 19 5 8 +20 +10.5 62
4 Ath Madrid 32 17 6 9 +18 +7.9 57
5 Betis 33 12 14 7 +8 +9.4 50
6 Celta 32 11 11 10 +3 +3.7 44
7 Getafe 33 13 5 15 -6 -13.2 44
8 Sociedad 32 11 9 12 +0 +0.6 42
9 Ath Bilbao 32 12 5 15 -11 +8.3 41
10 Osasuna 32 10 9 13 -2 -3.2 39
11 Vallecano 32 9 11 12 -8 +3.2 38
12 Espanol 32 10 8 14 -12 -3.9 38
13 Girona 32 9 11 12 -13 -11.1 38
14 Alaves 33 9 9 15 -11 -2.9 36
15 Valencia 32 9 9 14 -12 +3.4 36
16 Elche 32 8 11 13 -7 -18.8 35
17 Mallorca 33 9 8 16 -10 -18.5 35
18 Sevilla 32 9 7 16 -14 -18.3 34
19 Levante 32 8 8 16 -13 -11.7 32
20 Oviedo 32 6 10 16 -24 -20.3 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Girona
Renzo Saravia 🟨
38′
41′
🟨 Alex Moreno
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Ramazani
J. Guerra
50′
2–0 U. Sadiq
J. Gaya
59′
62′
🔁 B. Gil
↦ C. Echeverri
62′
🔁 A. Frances
↦ A. Moreno
62′
🔁 J. Roca
↦ T. Lemar
63′
J. Roca 2–1
A. Frances
F. Ugrinic 🔁
↦ J. Guerra
65′
D. Lopez 🔁
↦ L. Beltran
65′
69′
🔁 C. Stuani
↦ A. Ounahi
69′
🔁 H. Rincon
↦ D. Blind
U. Nunez 🔁
↦ Renzo Saravia
71′
H. Duro 🔁
↦ U. Sadiq
71′
A. Almeida 🔁
↦ L. Ramazani
85′
92′
🟨 Cristhian Stuani
Guido Rodríguez 🟨
99′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski G
20 Renzo Saravia D
5 C. Tarrega D
18 Pepelu D
14 J. Gaya D
11 L. Rioja M
8 J. Guerra M
2 G. Rodriguez M
17 L. Ramazani M
15 L. Beltran F
6 U. Sadiq F
Bench (12)
13 C. Rivero
22 B. Santamaria
4 U. Nunez
7 A. Danjuma
19 D. Raba
23 F. Ugrinic
16 D. Lopez
9 H. Duro
10 A. Almeida
21 J. Vazquez
26 Rubo
27 D. Otorbi

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Girona

4-2-3-1
13 P. Gazzaniga G
4 A. Martinez D
12 Vitor Reis D
17 D. Blind D
24 A. Moreno D
23 I. Martin M
20 A. Witsel M
15 V. Tsygankov M
11 T. Lemar M
18 A. Ounahi M
14 C. Echeverri F
Bench (10)
25 V. Krapyvtsov
1 R. Blanco
7 C. Stuani
8 F. Beltran
21 B. Gil
5 D. Lopez
16 A. Frances
36 R. Artero
3 J. Roca
2 H. Rincon

Coach: Michel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
3,39
B
3,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,88
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Ruiz · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.