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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Santander
S S U S T
3–1
Full-time
Cartagena
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 36%
32%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
27%
46%
Both score Ø 43%
41%
44%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

43% Possession 57%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 16. · Cartagena 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 42 22 9 11 +25 75
2 Las Palmas 42 18 18 6 +20 72
3 Levante 42 18 18 6 +16 72
4 Alaves 42 19 14 9 +14 71
5 Eibar 42 19 14 9 +9 71
6 Albacete 42 17 16 9 +11 67
7 Andorra 42 16 11 15 +10 59
8 Oviedo 42 16 11 15 -1 59
9 Cartagena 41 16 10 15 +0 58
10 Tenerife 42 14 15 13 +5 57
11 Burgos 42 13 15 14 -2 54
12 Zaragoza 42 12 17 13 +1 53
13 Leganes 42 14 11 17 -5 53
14 Huesca 42 11 19 12 +0 52
15 Mirandes 42 13 13 16 -6 52
16 Santander 41 13 12 16 -3 51
17 Sp Gijon 41 11 17 13 -2 50
18 Villarreal B 42 13 11 18 -6 50
19 Malaga 42 10 14 18 -7 44
20 Ponferradina 41 8 17 16 -16 41
21 Ibiza 42 7 13 22 -33 34
22 Lugo 42 6 13 23 -30 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Dec -22 Cartagena – Santander 0–3

Match report

Santander Cartagena
1–0 Mario García
C. Omoigui
4′
2–0 Yeray Cabanzón
Peque Fernández
20′
3–0 C. Omoigui
Peque Fernández
27′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 Iván Martos
↦ Kiko Olivas
46′
🔁 Darío Poveda
↦ F. Feuillassier
48′
Pablo Vázquez 3–1
David Ferreiro
49′
🟨 Mikel Rico
56′
🟨 Luca Sangalli
R. Baturina 🔁
↦ C. Omoigui
59′
Iñigo Vicente 🔁
↦ Fausto Tienza
59′
64′
🔁 Borja Valle
↦ David Ferreiro
64′
🔁 P. De Blasis
↦ Sangalli
67′
🟨 Darío Poveda
Juergen Elitim 🟨
72′
Jordi Mboula 🔁
↦ Yeray Cabanzón
74′
74′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ A. Sadiku
Pablo Bobadilla 🔁
↦ Eneko Satrústegui
82′
Jorge Pombo 🔁
↦ Peque Fernández
82′
88′
🟨 Miguelón
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 Miquel Parera G
17 Unai Medina D
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
3 Eneko Satrústegui D
40 Mario García D
8 Fausto Tienza M
20 J. Elitim M
41 Yeray Cabanzón M
29 Peque Fernández M
22 Arturo Molina M
9 C. Omoigui F
Bench (12)
11 R. Baturina
10 Iñigo Vicente
14 Jordi Mboula
5 Pablo Bobadilla
24 Jorge Pombo
19 Matheus Aiás
25 Marco Sangalli
15 Rubén González
4 Pol Moreno
12 S. Gassama
18 Saúl García
13 Jokin Ezkieta

Coach: José Alberto López

Cartagena

4-3-3
1 Marc Martínez G
2 Miguel Llambrich D
5 Pablo Vázquez D
21 Kiko Olivas D
6 T. Datković D
18 D. Musto M
17 Mikel Rico M
15 Sangalli M
7 David Ferreiro F
19 A. Sadiku F
14 F. Feuillassier F
Bench (12)
3 Iván Martos
11 Darío Poveda
10 Borja Valle
8 P. De Blasis
9 Alfredo Ortuño
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok
23 Pêpê Rodrigues
27 Sergio Díaz
16 Iván Calero
40 Diego Iglesias
13 Aarón Escandell
4 Alcalá

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,62
U
3,17
B
2,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.