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Conference League
Referee: H Meler
West Ham
S T T T S
2–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/16 matches
Win Ø 87%
92%
81%
Points per game
2,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
63%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
0,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,89 xG 0,28
43% Possession 57%
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

West Ham AZ Alkmaar
16′
🟨 Mees de Wit
41′
T. Reijnders 0–1
S. Mijnans
Half-time 0–1
Lucas Paquetá 🟨
57′
58′
🟨 Jordy Clasie
65′
🟨 Mathew Ryan
1–1 S. Benrahma
67′
68′
🔁 M. Lahdo
↦ J. Odgaard
2–1 M. Antonio
75′
D. Ings 🔁
↦ M. Antonio
80′
80′
🔁 D. Mihailovic
↦ M. van Brederode
Pablo Fornals 🔁
↦ S. Benrahma
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

West Ham

4-2-3-1
13 A. Aréola G
24 T. Kehrer D
4 K. Zouma D
27 N. Aguerd D
3 A. Cresswell D
28 T. Souček M
41 D. Rice M
20 J. Bowen M
11 Lucas Paquetá M
22 S. Benrahma M
9 M. Antonio F
Bench (11)
18 D. Ings
8 Pablo Fornals
12 F. Downes
1 Ł. Fabiański
72 D. Mubama
14 M. Cornet
49 J. Anang
10 M. Lanzini
62 F. Potts
33 Emerson
2 B. Johnson

Coach: D. Moyes

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
31 S. Beukema D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
34 M. de Wit D
8 J. Clasie M
6 T. Reijnders M
7 J. Odgaard M
16 S. Mijnans M
19 M. van Brederode M
9 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (10)
23 M. Lahdo
14 D. Mihailovic
27 Z. Vanheusden
46 W. Goes
25 R. Bazoer
35 M. Meerdink
12 H. Verhulst
28 Z. Buurmeester
17 Y. Barası
54 D. Deen

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.