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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
0–1
Full-time
Groningen
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 7
6 Yellow cards 1
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 10. · Groningen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 10 0 3 +13 30
2 Ajax 12 8 3 1 +35 27
3 Feyenoord 11 8 1 2 +14 25
4 Utrecht 11 7 2 2 +14 23
5 Twente 13 6 3 4 +2 21
6 Nijmegen 13 5 4 4 -2 19
7 Vitesse 12 6 1 5 -8 19
8 Cambuur 12 6 0 6 -5 18
9 Willem II 12 5 3 4 -5 18
10 Go Ahead Eagles 12 5 2 5 -5 17
11 Heracles 12 4 2 6 -3 14
12 Heerenveen 11 4 2 5 -3 14
13 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 1 6 +2 13
14 Waalwijk 12 2 5 5 -3 11
15 Groningen 12 2 5 5 -8 11
16 Sparta Rotterdam 13 2 4 7 -9 10
17 For Sittard 12 2 3 7 -14 9
18 Zwolle 12 1 1 10 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Groningen
Philippe Rommens 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
50′
J. Larsen 0–1
W. Dammers
54′
🟨 Tomáš Suslov
Iñigo Cordoba 🟨
57′
M. Berden 🔁
↦ G. Botos
59′
Joris Kramer 🟨
70′
Iñigo Cordoba 🟨
75′
Iñigo Cordoba 🟥
75′
J. Mulenga 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
79′
J. Bakker 🔁
↦ P. Rommens
79′
84′
🔁 P. Joosten
↦ D. Irandust
84′
🔁 M. te Wierik
↦ L. Duarte
Jacob Mulenga 🟨
89′
Joris Kramer 🟨
93′
Joris Kramer 🟥
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
20 M. Deijl D
2 B. Lucassen D
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
30 G. Botos M
9 I. Lidberg F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (10)
7 M. Berden
27 J. Mulenga
26 J. Bakker
23 A. Noppert
22 Q. Dumay
31 J. Schuurman
24 Y. Bourhane
17 F. Ross
25 S. Ozturk
6 J. Idzes

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Groningen

4-3-1-2
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
3 B. van Hintum D
4 W. Dammers D
20 M. Šverko D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
6 L. Duarte M
10 D. Irandust M
7 T. Suslov M
8 M. de Leeuw F
11 M. El Hankouri M
9 J. Larsen F
Bench (9)
14 P. Joosten
5 M. te Wierik
50 T. Blokzijl
16 J. Hoekstra
25 J. de Boer
19 P. Abraham
26 D. van Kaam
40 B. Meijer
27 C. Ngonge

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,33
B ✓
3,02
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.