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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
T S U S T
4–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
44%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

14 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
0 Corners 1
11 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 6. · Sp Gijon 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 17 13 1 3 +21 40
2 Eibar 17 9 5 3 +5 32
3 Tenerife 17 9 3 5 +8 30
4 Valladolid 17 8 4 5 +5 28
5 Las Palmas 17 7 6 4 +5 27
6 Ponferradina 16 7 5 4 +5 26
7 Malaga 17 7 5 5 -2 26
8 Cartagena 17 8 1 8 -2 25
9 Oviedo 17 5 9 3 +3 24
10 Ibiza 17 5 8 4 -1 23
11 Zaragoza 16 4 10 2 +2 22
12 Sp Gijon 16 6 4 6 -1 22
13 Huesca 17 5 6 6 +1 21
14 Girona 16 6 3 7 +0 21
15 Lugo 17 4 8 5 +0 20
16 Mirandes 17 5 4 8 -4 19
17 Burgos 17 5 4 8 -4 19
18 Sociedad B 16 4 5 7 -3 17
19 Fuenlabrada 17 3 8 6 -5 17
20 Leganes 16 3 6 7 -4 15
21 Amorebieta 17 2 7 8 -8 13
22 Alcorcon 17 2 2 13 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,50
U
2,93
B
3,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,52
U2,5
1,50
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.