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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martínez

Granada

S U U S T

1–4

Full-time

Real Madrid

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,4

Scored

0,9

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

32% Possession 68%

11 Shots 21

3 Shots on target 10

4 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Granada 17. · Real Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	13	8	4	1	+14	28
2	Sociedad	13	8	4	1	+9	28
3	Real Madrid	12	8	3	1	+15	27
4	Ath Madrid	13	7	5	1	+9	26
5	Betis	13	6	3	4	+2	21
6	Barcelona	13	5	5	3	+5	20
7	Vallecano	13	6	2	5	+5	20
8	Ath Bilbao	13	4	7	2	+3	19
9	Osasuna	14	5	4	5	-4	19
10	Valencia	13	4	5	4	+1	17
11	Espanol	14	4	5	5	+0	17
12	Villarreal	13	3	7	3	+2	16
13	Mallorca	13	3	6	4	-6	15
14	Alaves	13	4	2	7	-7	14
15	Celta	14	3	4	7	-4	13
16	Cadiz	14	2	6	6	-11	12
17	Granada	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Elche	13	2	5	6	-6	11
19	Getafe	14	2	3	9	-9	9
20	Levante	14	0	7	7	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+8	17
2	Sevilla	6	5	1	0	+11	16
3	Vallecano	6	5	1	0	+11	16
4	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Espanol	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Sociedad	6	4	2	0	+4	14
7	Valencia	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+9	11
9	Villarreal	6	3	2	1	+5	11
10	Betis	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+2	10
12	Mallorca	7	2	4	1	+1	10
13	Alaves	7	3	0	4	-4	9
14	Elche	6	1	4	1	+0	7
15	Getafe	7	2	1	4	-1	7
16	Osasuna	7	1	3	3	-6	6
17	Granada	5	1	2	2	-1	5
18	Celta	8	1	2	5	-5	5
19	Levante	7	0	5	2	-5	5
20	Cadiz	7	0	4	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Osasuna	7	4	1	2	+2	13
4	Sevilla	7	3	3	1	+3	12
5	Ath Madrid	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Betis	6	3	1	2	-1	10
7	Ath Bilbao	7	1	6	0	+1	9
8	Celta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Cadiz	7	2	2	3	-6	8
10	Granada	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Alaves	6	1	2	3	-3	5
12	Villarreal	7	0	5	2	-3	5
13	Valencia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Mallorca	6	1	2	3	-7	5
15	Vallecano	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	Elche	7	1	1	5	-6	4
17	Barcelona	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Espanol	7	0	3	4	-5	3
19	Levante	7	0	2	5	-8	2
20	Getafe	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.