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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
2–3
Full-time
Groningen
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,3
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
3,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,7
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 31/29 matches
Win Ø 22%
19%
24%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
61%
48%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
62%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
21 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 7
10 Free kicks against 15
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 18. · Groningen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 31 24 4 3 +60 76
2 Ajax 31 23 6 2 +51 75
3 PSV Eindhoven 31 20 9 2 +41 69
4 Utrecht 28 14 7 7 +13 49
5 Vitesse 31 14 6 11 +11 48
6 AZ Alkmaar 29 11 12 6 +7 45
7 Twente 32 12 9 11 +1 45
8 Heerenveen 30 12 6 12 +5 42
9 Heracles 32 11 7 14 -4 40
10 Willem II 32 9 9 14 -12 36
11 Excelsior 32 8 10 14 -17 34
12 Groningen 29 7 11 11 -1 32
13 Den Haag 31 9 5 17 -22 32
14 Zwolle 32 8 8 16 -26 32
15 Roda 31 6 12 13 -22 30
16 Sparta Rotterdam 31 7 7 17 -21 28
17 Nijmegen 32 7 7 18 -30 28
18 Go Ahead Eagles 31 6 5 20 -34 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Groningen
37′
M. Mahi 0–1
R. Jenssen
Half-time 0–1
L. de Kogel 🔁
↦ J. Antonia
56′
D. Maatsen 🔁
↦ R. Achenteh
56′
69′
🔁 A. Sørloth
↦ B. Linssen
1–1 S. Hendriks
E. Manu
74′
80′
Jesper Drost 1–2
J. Bacuna
85′
🔁 H. Maduro
↦ J. Bacuna
85′
🔁 A. Hrustic
↦ O. Idrissi
S. Locigno 🔁
↦ S. Fischer
87′
2–2 D. Maatsen
S. Locigno
89′
93′
M. Mahi 2–3
A. Sørloth
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
35 R. Achenteh M
4 X. Schenk D
8 J. Suk M
24 M. Ritzmaier M
7 D. Crowley M
29 Chirivella M
77 J. Antonia F
28 E. Manu F
19 S. Hendriks F
Bench (7)
9 L. de Kogel
14 D. Maatsen
17 S. Locigno
5 L. Rexhepi
6 S. Duits
13 E. Cummins
23 N. Nieveld

Coach: R. Maaskant

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
2 J. Davidson M
8 R. Jenssen M
24 T. Hiariej M
17 Jesper Drost M
20 Y. van Nieff M
5 S. Memišević D
12 J. Bacuna M
11 B. Linssen F
14 M. Mahi M
45 O. Idrissi F
Bench (9)
13 A. Sørloth
23 H. Maduro
36 A. Hrustic
6 E. Reijnen
16 S. van der Lei
22 S. Tibbling
30 P. van der Vlag
34 R. Baas
35 G. Bijl

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.