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Premier League
Referee: A Marriner
Tottenham
S S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Leeds
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
45%
18%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
27%
73%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 10. · Leeds 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 12 9 2 1 +26 29
2 Man City 12 8 2 2 +19 26
3 Liverpool 12 7 4 1 +24 25
4 West Ham 12 7 2 3 +9 23
5 Arsenal 12 6 2 4 -4 20
6 Wolves 12 6 1 5 +0 19
7 Man United 12 5 2 5 -1 17
8 Brighton 12 4 5 3 -2 17
9 Crystal Palace 12 3 7 2 +1 16
10 Tottenham 11 5 1 5 -7 16
11 Everton 12 4 3 5 -3 15
12 Leicester 12 4 3 5 -5 15
13 Southampton 12 3 5 4 -3 14
14 Brentford 12 3 4 5 -1 13
15 Watford 12 4 1 7 -4 13
16 Aston Villa 12 4 1 7 -4 13
17 Leeds 11 2 5 4 -7 11
18 Burnley 12 1 6 5 -6 9
19 Norwich 12 2 2 8 -20 8
20 Newcastle 12 0 6 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Leeds
30′
🟨 Joe Gelhardt
44′
D. James 0–1
J. Harrison
Half-time 1–1
1–1 P. Højbjerg
Lucas Moura
58′
59′
🔁 Junior Firpo
↦ M. Klich
65′
🟨 Adam Forshaw
67′
🟨 Liam Cooper
D. Sánchez 🔁
↦ J. Tanganga
68′
2–1 Reguilón
69′
72′
🔁 T. Roberts
↦ A. Forshaw
R. Sessegnon 🔁
↦ Reguilón
79′
87′
🔁 S. McKinstry
↦ J. Gelhardt
D. Alli 🔁
↦ Lucas Moura
88′
Emerson Royal 🟨
91′
94′
🟨 Kalvin Phillips
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

3-4-2-1
1 H. Lloris G
33 B. Davies D
3 Reguilón M
25 J. Tanganga D
12 Emerson M
7 Son Heung-Min F
27 Lucas Moura F
5 P. Højbjerg M
15 E. Dier D
8 H. Winks M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
6 D. Sánchez
19 R. Sessegnon
20 D. Alli
14 J. Rodon
2 M. Doherty
11 Bryan Gil
28 T. Ndombèlé
22 P. Gollini
23 S. Bergwijn

Coach: A. Conte

Leeds

3-3-3-1
1 I. Meslier G
6 L. Cooper D
15 S. Dallas M
14 Diego Llorente D
21 P. Struijk M
43 M. Klich M
4 A. Forshaw M
23 K. Phillips D
22 J. Harrison F
20 D. James F
30 J. Gelhardt F
Bench (9)
3 Junior Firpo
11 T. Roberts
39 S. McKinstry
35 C. Cresswell
45 L. McCarron
42 S. Greenwood
13 K. Klaesson
47 J. Jenkins
37 C. Drameh

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
4,07
B
4,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Marriner · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.